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re: Pick your teams Wins and Losses and how confident you are about each game.
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:03 pm to dbt_Geaux_Tigers_196
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:03 pm to dbt_Geaux_Tigers_196
99.9% W Sept. 1 North Texas
96% W Sept. 8 Washington
99.9% W Sept. 15 Idaho
90% W Sept. 22 at Auburn
99.9% W Sept. 29 Towson University
85% W Oct. 6 at Florida
80% W Oct. 13 South Carolina
80% WOct. 20 at Texas A&M
60% W Nov. 3 Alabama
90% W Nov. 10 Mississippi State
99% W Nov. 17 Ole Miss
75% W Nov. 23 at Arkansas
70% W Dec. 1 at ATL
50% W Jan. 7 at Miami
According to the math, LSU has a 1/17 shot of going undefeated at 14-0. Additionally, LSU has a 1/5 chance of beating all teams in the regular season and 1/3 chance in beating all teams but Alabama.
96% W Sept. 8 Washington
99.9% W Sept. 15 Idaho
90% W Sept. 22 at Auburn
99.9% W Sept. 29 Towson University
85% W Oct. 6 at Florida
80% W Oct. 13 South Carolina
80% WOct. 20 at Texas A&M
60% W Nov. 3 Alabama
90% W Nov. 10 Mississippi State
99% W Nov. 17 Ole Miss
75% W Nov. 23 at Arkansas
70% W Dec. 1 at ATL
50% W Jan. 7 at Miami
According to the math, LSU has a 1/17 shot of going undefeated at 14-0. Additionally, LSU has a 1/5 chance of beating all teams in the regular season and 1/3 chance in beating all teams but Alabama.
1
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:04 pm to tennfanatic
win confidence level in percent
@LaTech – 65%
Florida - 45%
@SMU - 95%
SC State 99%
Arkansas - 55%
@Ole Miss - 80%
LSU – 20%
@Auburn - 40%
@Miss State - 45%
@Alabama – 10%
Sam Houston St - 99%
Mizzou– 50%
@LaTech – 65%
Florida - 45%
@SMU - 95%
SC State 99%
Arkansas - 55%
@Ole Miss - 80%
LSU – 20%
@Auburn - 40%
@Miss State - 45%
@Alabama – 10%
Sam Houston St - 99%
Mizzou– 50%
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:09 pm to rpg37
vs. Clemson Win 55%
at Mississippi State Win 80%
vs. Louisiana-Monroe Win 100%
vs. LSU Loss 15%
vs. Arkansas Win 55%
at Ole Miss Win 90%
at Vanderbilt Win 90%
vs. Texas A&M Win 70%
vs. New Mexico State Win 100%
vs. Georgia Loss %40
vs. Alabama A&M Win 100%
at Alabama Loss 35%
at Mississippi State Win 80%
vs. Louisiana-Monroe Win 100%
vs. LSU Loss 15%
vs. Arkansas Win 55%
at Ole Miss Win 90%
at Vanderbilt Win 90%
vs. Texas A&M Win 70%
vs. New Mexico State Win 100%
vs. Georgia Loss %40
vs. Alabama A&M Win 100%
at Alabama Loss 35%
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:10 pm to tennfanatic
Arkansas 10-2, but @SC and @Auburn frighten me a bit. Our season is a total crap shoot. Leadership from Wilson and Davis might be enough to overcome the offseason chaos.
Jacksonville State (Home) W 100%
ULM (LR) W 100%
Alabama (Home) L 60%
Rutgers (Home) W 85%
Texas A&M (Away) W 70%
Auburn (Away) W 65%
Kentucky (Home) W 90%
Ole Miss (LR) W 80%
Tulsa (Home) W 95%
South Carolina (Away) W 60%
Mississippi State (Away) W 70%
LSU (Home) L 60%
Jacksonville State (Home) W 100%
ULM (LR) W 100%
Alabama (Home) L 60%
Rutgers (Home) W 85%
Texas A&M (Away) W 70%
Auburn (Away) W 65%
Kentucky (Home) W 90%
Ole Miss (LR) W 80%
Tulsa (Home) W 95%
South Carolina (Away) W 60%
Mississippi State (Away) W 70%
LSU (Home) L 60%
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:12 pm to NorthGwinnettTiger
quote:
at Mississippi State Win 80%
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:12 pm to NorthGwinnettTiger
quote:
at Mississippi State Win 80%
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:15 pm to rpg37
quote:
rpg37
I'm actually happy that many feel that way. I hope he's so sure of the win that he comes to Starkvegas to witness it in person
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:16 pm to NorthGwinnettTiger
vs. Clemson Win 55%
at Mississippi State Win 80%
vs. Louisiana-Monroe Win 100%
vs. LSU Loss 35%
vs. Arkansas Win 65%
at Ole Miss Win 90%
at Vanderbilt Win 90%
vs. Texas A&M Win 70%
vs. New Mexico State Win 100%
vs. Georgia Win 60%
vs. Alabama A&M Win 100%
at Alabama Win 65%
at Mississippi State Win 80%
vs. Louisiana-Monroe Win 100%
vs. LSU Loss 35%
vs. Arkansas Win 65%
at Ole Miss Win 90%
at Vanderbilt Win 90%
vs. Texas A&M Win 70%
vs. New Mexico State Win 100%
vs. Georgia Win 60%
vs. Alabama A&M Win 100%
at Alabama Win 65%
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:16 pm to Hump
I have State undefeated going to Tuscaloosa.
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:18 pm to texmariner84
quote:
Texas A&M fan
quote:
Arkansas - W 65% - Our Secondary a big ?? but again at Home and we should have a team that can finish
Every year.
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:26 pm to Hump
quote:
I'm actually happy that many feel that way. I hope he's so sure of the win that he comes to Starkvegas to witness it in person
Yeah, because it really is going to mean a lot what a poster on a message board thinks. Herp Derp!!!
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:45 pm to RockyMtnTigerWDE
quote:
Yeah, because it really is going to mean a lot what a poster on a message board thinks. Herp Derp!!!
Perhaps you need help on what the word "many" means?
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:46 pm to Hump
quote:
"many"
Used in a sentence: Ole Miss has lost many games over the past two years.
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:48 pm to rpg37
quote:
Used in a sentence: Ole Miss has lost many games over the past two years.
So has msu.
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:53 pm to BennyAndTheInkJets
quote:
BennyAndTheInkJets
Except this year your coach got caught getting blowies... and it wasn't his wife giving them. Also you get to play in CS this year so that will be a little different.
Still think that Arky win's but I would give us a 45% chance of a upset, its not like y'all really kicked our arse in Dallas last year anyway.
Posted on 7/10/12 at 2:54 pm to Hump
You made your "many" statement, but then singled out the poster in your following sentence. amirite?
quote:
I hope he's so sure of the win that he comes to Starkvegas to witness it in person
Posted on 7/10/12 at 3:00 pm to tennfanatic
Tennessee 9-3
losses to Bama,UGA,USC
for sure wins vs. Vandy,KY,Troy,Akron,GAstate,
better than good chance for a W (imo): MSU, NCstate
toss up but confident for a W: UF, Mizz
losses to Bama,UGA,USC
for sure wins vs. Vandy,KY,Troy,Akron,GAstate,
better than good chance for a W (imo): MSU, NCstate
toss up but confident for a W: UF, Mizz
Posted on 7/10/12 at 3:01 pm to BIGFOOD
quote:
Tennessee 9-3
losses to Bama,UGA,USC
for sure wins vs. Vandy,KY,Troy,Akron,GAstate,
better than good chance for a W (imo): MSU, NCstate
toss up but confident for a W: UF, Mizz
Does that get Dooley off the hot seat?
Posted on 7/10/12 at 3:11 pm to tennfanatic
UGA:
Buffalo: 100% sure we win
Missouri: 45% sure we win
FAU: 100% sure we win
Vandy: 70% sure we win
Tenn: 60% sure we win
South Carolin: 50% sure we win
Kentucky: 85% sure we win
Florida: 45% sure we win
Ole Miss: 95% sure we win
Auburn: 55% Sure we win
GA Southern: 98% sure we win
GT: 80% sure we win
Buffalo: 100% sure we win
Missouri: 45% sure we win
FAU: 100% sure we win
Vandy: 70% sure we win
Tenn: 60% sure we win
South Carolin: 50% sure we win
Kentucky: 85% sure we win
Florida: 45% sure we win
Ole Miss: 95% sure we win
Auburn: 55% Sure we win
GA Southern: 98% sure we win
GT: 80% sure we win
Posted on 7/10/12 at 3:17 pm to tennfanatic
Still early since we haven't even gotten to Fall Camp:
Florida
Vs. Bowling Green = Win --> 100% chance to win
@ Texas A&M = Win --> 55% chance to win
@ Tennessee = Win --> 75% chance to win
Vs. Kentucky = Win --> 100% chance to win
Vs. LSU = Loss --> 5% chance to win
@ Vanderbilt = Win --> 85% chance to win
Vs. South Carolina = Loss --> 50% chance to win
Vs. Georgia = Loss --> 40% chance to win
Vs. Missouri = Win --> 65% chance to win
Vs. Louisiana = Win --> 100% chance to win
Vs. Jacksonville St. = Win --> 100% chance to win
@ Florida State = Loss --> 30% chance to win
So 8-4 if everything goes how I think.
Florida
Vs. Bowling Green = Win --> 100% chance to win
@ Texas A&M = Win --> 55% chance to win
@ Tennessee = Win --> 75% chance to win
Vs. Kentucky = Win --> 100% chance to win
Vs. LSU = Loss --> 5% chance to win
@ Vanderbilt = Win --> 85% chance to win
Vs. South Carolina = Loss --> 50% chance to win
Vs. Georgia = Loss --> 40% chance to win
Vs. Missouri = Win --> 65% chance to win
Vs. Louisiana = Win --> 100% chance to win
Vs. Jacksonville St. = Win --> 100% chance to win
@ Florida State = Loss --> 30% chance to win
So 8-4 if everything goes how I think.
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