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re: Lunardi's Latest Bracketology
Posted on 2/20/12 at 12:52 pm to Crede15
Posted on 2/20/12 at 12:52 pm to Crede15
Also MSSU has an RPI of 58, yet they are projected to be in the tourny? They still have some tough games and could wind up easily going 8-8 in the SEC.
I wish I truly understood the way the RPI works.
I wish I truly understood the way the RPI works.
2
Posted on 2/20/12 at 12:52 pm to lwlsu96
I don't think LSU has a realistic chance to make the tourney. As I stated before, SEC only has two bubble teams IMO, Bama and MSU with Vandy,UK,UF locks.
Posted on 2/20/12 at 1:02 pm to lwlsu96
quote:
Also MSSU has an RPI of 58, yet they are projected to be in the tourny? They still have some tough games and could wind up easily going 8-8 in the SEC.
I wish I truly understood the way the RPI works.
If MSU finishes 8-8, they will also be on the bubble. They will still be ahead of LSU, and they play KY this week which should drop their rpi. RPI is overvalued, and difficult to understand. Bama beat Wich ST on a neutral floor, and they have rpi of 15. They beat UNLV (12) and Creighton (28). I think all three of those teams are overrated.
Posted on 2/20/12 at 1:03 pm to jddawg58
UNLV is one and done this year... most overrated team in the tourney by far.
Posted on 2/20/12 at 1:19 pm to 1991UW
quote:
UNLV is one and done this year... most overrated team in the tourney by far.
Washington may be the second most overrated. They are 0-4 against the rpi top 50 and 3-4 against 50-100 rpi teams. Only quality wins are against Oregon 51 and two wins over Arizona 67.
Lost at home to S. Dakota St by 19.
8 wins over teams with rpi over 200.
Overall, very thin resume. May sneak in just because Pac-12 is so bad this year. In the top three of Pac-12.
Posted on 2/20/12 at 1:20 pm to jddawg58
quote:
Washington may be the second most overrated. They are 0-4 against the rpi top 50 and 3-4 against 50-100 rpi teams. Only quality wins are against Oregon 51 and two wins over Arizona 67.
Lost at home to S. Dakota St by 19.
8 wins over teams with rpi over 200.
Overall, very thin resume. May sneak in just because Pac-12 is so bad this year. In the top three of Pac-12.
Have you watched any of their last 8 games? Didn't think so.
Posted on 2/20/12 at 1:31 pm to 1991UW
quote:
Have you watched any of their last 8 games? Didn't think so.
Season starts before February. You don't get in without a win over top 50 rpi team unless you win Conference or conference tourney. You have games remaining against Wash ST 177, UCLA 134 and USC 238. Your rpi is headed up, even if you win all those games.
Posted on 2/20/12 at 1:49 pm to lwlsu96
quote:
I wish I truly understood the way the RPI works
Basically just 1/4 your record, 1/2 your opponent's record, and then 1/4 the record of your opponent's opponents.
As for MSU "projected" to be in even though they could easily lose a couple more games, they all do these projections based on if the season ended today. They aren't projected out the rest of the season and wins and losses for each team.
Posted on 2/20/12 at 2:18 pm to bigpapamac
quote:
I wish I truly understood the way the RPI works
Basically just 1/4 your record, 1/2 your opponent's record, and then 1/4 the record of your opponent's opponents.
As for MSU "projected" to be in even though they could easily lose a couple more games, they all do these projections based on if the season ended today. They aren't projected out the rest of the season and wins and losses for each team.
Road wins receive more credit (1.4) than home wins (0.6).
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