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re: Is Alabama really a dynasty??

Posted on 5/15/13 at 12:34 pm to
Posted by dbt_Geaux_Tigers_196
Dystopia (but well cared for)
Member since Mar 2012
25235 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 12:34 pm to
Above OU, who should not have been there...as usual.
This post was edited on 5/15/13 at 12:35 pm
Posted by EvilVodka
Member since Dec 2012
810 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

Not according to everything else you've stated in this thread.


why is that? Let's look at Florida and LSU "potential dynasties"

Florida '06-Present
2 National Championships (out of 2)
2 SEC Championships
1 Heisman Winner
3 13-win seasons, 1 11 win season

Florida has had a few good/mediocre seasons in this run, but if they won the SEC and the NC next season, I think you could start looking at them as possible dynasty material...same way we're discussing Alabama's dynasty on here

LSU '01-Present
2 National Championships (out of 3)
4 SEC Championships
8 10-win seasons or better

If LSU won the SEC and NC next year, you could start talking about them as a possible dynasty...3 NCs and 4 appearances

The difference IMO is the longevity of dominance...if Saban suddenly retired and went into hibernation, Alabama's run would look more like a mini-dynasty, ala Miami and USC last decade. But I don't think anyone on here is thinking that will happen, and like NYCAuburn said, this appears to be a dynasty in motion...

***sidenote: I am in no way saying LSU or Florida will win the NC next year and will probably NEVER be considered a dynasty in their current runs
Posted by EvilVodka
Member since Dec 2012
810 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

go back and look at the ranked teams we played and compare them to OK and USC. then tell me.

Sagarins rankings gives a bump to big 12 and pac teams. As a SEC fan, do you really believe those conferences to be better?
Eta and if you go by his rankings AU played more top 20 teams, I believe


none of that should matter though....only in possibly selecting at-large teams for a playoff.

The problem has been, for a long time, the post-season system

There ARE NO arguments keeping Auburn from a playoff
Posted by Crimson Legend
Mount St Gumpus
Member since Nov 2004
15478 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 12:51 pm to
Dynasties are about being on top. Conference championships are irrelevant in talking about college football dynasties. If you want to talk about SEC dynasties, then make that the scope and talk about conference titles.

And mentioning the number of Heismans is just inane.
Posted by EvilVodka
Member since Dec 2012
810 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Above OU, who should not have been there...as usual.


Oklahoma '04 had a right to play for it too...no one knew before hand they would get thumped the way they did...

BCS the problem, as always
Posted by EvilVodka
Member since Dec 2012
810 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Dynasties are about being on top. Conference championships are irrelevant in talking about college football dynasties. If you want to talk about SEC dynasties, then make that the scope and talk about conference titles.


Except that the college football postseason has been a horrible measuring stick, ask Texas '08, Auburn '04, Oregon '01, Miami '00, and all the split National Champions there ever was....

Seriously, what the freak is a split National Championship? College football invented the term. All other sports have PLAYOFFS, won on the field (or court or diamond)

quote:

And mentioning the number of Heismans is just inane.


not really, they often go hand-in-hand
Posted by dbt_Geaux_Tigers_196
Dystopia (but well cared for)
Member since Mar 2012
25235 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 12:56 pm to
It was a tough call but...in 2003 OU had their highest scoring offense ever, to date (till 2008), and this O scored 14 points. It was a red flag not heeded. And a basis for having little regard for B12 'high powered' offenses.
Posted by Crimson Legend
Mount St Gumpus
Member since Nov 2004
15478 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 12:56 pm to
OU and Southern Cal were clearly the most deserving two teams for the game. Maybe auburn was better, maybe they would have won...but to say that we know auburn deserved to be there because OU got beaten easily by USC is just lazy thinking. By all legitimate measurable criteria, OU deserved to be there over auburn. The BCS got it right. You can't blame the formula for the performance of the teams in the title game.
Posted by Crimson Legend
Mount St Gumpus
Member since Nov 2004
15478 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 12:57 pm to
It's a hell of a mental jump from "the college football national championships are suspect" to "winning the SEC is bigger than being national champions".
Posted by dbt_Geaux_Tigers_196
Dystopia (but well cared for)
Member since Mar 2012
25235 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 12:58 pm to
Nothing lazy about it. See post above yours.
Posted by dbt_Geaux_Tigers_196
Dystopia (but well cared for)
Member since Mar 2012
25235 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 1:00 pm to
Plus someone posted Sagarin SOS ratings (fwiw) and AU was slightly higher than OU.
Posted by USMC Gators
Member since Oct 2011
14633 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Florida has had a few good/mediocre seasons in this run, but if they won the SEC and the NC next season, I think you could start looking at them as possible dynasty material...same way we're discussing Alabama's dynasty on here

No.
Just no.
Posted by Crimson Legend
Mount St Gumpus
Member since Nov 2004
15478 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 1:03 pm to
AU was higher AFTER the bowls. Check out strength of schedule, and you can easily see that it was no comparison who should go to the BCS title game given that both were undefeated going into the bowls.

As to the performance the year earlier - I think you're on to something if you're looking for a betting advantage, but it's not quantitative enough as a basis for deciding which team should play in the championship the following year.
Posted by USMC Gators
Member since Oct 2011
14633 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

Texas '08,

Lost.

quote:

Auburn '04,

FCS team.

quote:

Oregon '01

Lost.

quote:

Miami '00

Lost.

quote:

not really, they often go hand-in-hand

Individual award =/= team accomplishment
Posted by USMC Gators
Member since Oct 2011
14633 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Plus someone posted Sagarin SOS ratings (fwiw) and AU was slightly higher than OU.

Look at the schedule ranking (s).
Posted by dbt_Geaux_Tigers_196
Dystopia (but well cared for)
Member since Mar 2012
25235 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

AU was higher AFTER the bowls.

Didn't catch that, fair enough.
quote:

As to the performance the year earlier - I think you're on to something if you're looking for a betting advantage, but it's not quantitative enough as a basis for deciding which team should play in the championship the following year.


Again fair enough...'high octane' O's that score 14 points, twice, against a good D says a lot. But in 2004, this wasn't really known as much as it is now.
Posted by Crimson Legend
Mount St Gumpus
Member since Nov 2004
15478 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 1:08 pm to
I do think you're right, though - the frequency that a "high octane" offense underperforms against a great defense suggests that it's not a coincidence. I think you could consistently take the defensive team in those matchups and beat the spread on a fairly regular basis.
Posted by dbt_Geaux_Tigers_196
Dystopia (but well cared for)
Member since Mar 2012
25235 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 1:08 pm to
Well, a 4 team playoff will solve this. I just wonder where it will end (regarding number of invites) once those checks actually start rolling in.
Posted by dbt_Geaux_Tigers_196
Dystopia (but well cared for)
Member since Mar 2012
25235 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

I think you could consistently take the defensive team in those matchups

There's a reason a mediocre ISU beat OSU in 2011...no D.
Posted by FourThreeForty
Member since May 2013
17290 posts
Posted on 5/15/13 at 1:15 pm to
My question is, why do voters still dick ride Oklahoma when they've lost like 4 national championships, and never live up to the hype.
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