re: Dr. Anthony Fauci warns seasons may need to be scrapped because of coronavirus

I am referring to the model used by the NIH which targeted US deaths at 60k by August 1st which was used as evidence for easing restrictions. That changed to 68k roughly a week ago which has now adjusted to 74k by August. All of those models assume social mitigation which has greatly subsided. The US is now adding significantly more new cases outside of NYC which is not a good development.

Has anything killed so many people worldwide in such a short time?

Doing what is required to save 1 person from a covid death next year will cause 10 more to die For a different reason than covid before then.

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I would rather wait until next year to die. All the more reason to shut this down longer. Great point.

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Are you on welfare or something?

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Less people are dying that would have. That’s kind of the point to trying to save lives.

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People are dying for other reasons due to the shutdown.

My mother-in-law had a stroke, has brain cancer and doesn't want to have surgery for her cancer anymore because they won't allow family up there. She had to sit up there alone for multiple days after having a stroke, scared to death. She would rather die surrounded by family than take a risk of having the surgery and not seeing any family for days and dying anyway.

All because of people like you. Her life is meaningless to you.

The saving lives crew is skeptical to me because somehow they’ve compartmentalized this death as unacceptable. And other problems and deaths as being acceptable

Starvation is killing more people daily than this. Where are The dj dawgS of the world. Why should t we shut down sports and take that money and help these people or tell restaurants that you should forsake all income and paying customers until this starvation problem is eradicated. Where are you? Those deaths don’t count?

And I don’t want one person to die. And I sure as hell don’t ant anything to happen to me or you dj dawg. But if you told me that to keep dj dawg alive for an extra six months millions of people should lose their jobs, business should be destroyed. God only knows what’s going to happen to schools, etc. I’d be like go frick yourself you selfish piece of shite

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Doing what is required to save 1 person from a covid death next year will cause 10 more to die For a different reason than covid before then.

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Highly doubtful

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My mother-in-law had a stroke, has brain cancer and doesn't want to have surgery for her cancer anymore because they won't allow family up there. She had to sit up there alone for multiple days after having a stroke, scared to death. She would rather die surrounded by family than take a risk of having the surgery and not seeing any family for days and dying anyway.

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Stroke and cancer? That sucks. Brain cancer is usually terminal without a stroke. Add you bringing covid to her and it’s guarantee.

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also WAY easier to eradicate starvation than coronavirus

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Starvation to death isn’t an issue in the USA. Convince me it is.

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If you are talking about this one, it started out over 80k, dropped down, then went back up.

COVID-19 Projections

I'm actually pretty surprised at how well it's done predicting it, so not sure what your complaint is.

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The IMHE model is like watching someone predict SF beats KC 65-0, then the game starts and they keep adjusting, 65-7, 65-10, 45-10, 35-17, 35-24, 35-31, I mean KC 31-28, I mean 31-20 KC wins.

Look at how accurate we were.

No you can’t see how our model works. We are accurate. See...

Even the predictions of daily deaths “have been highly inaccurate,” said statistician Sally Cripps of the University of Sydney, who led a team that examined IHME’s up-and-down projections. “It performs poorly even when it predicts the number of next-day deaths: The true number of next-day deaths has been outside the 95% intervals 70% of the time.” If the 95% calculation correctly reflects a model’s uncertainty, then textbook statistics say the true numbers can fall outside that range no more than 5% of the time.