re: Do we all agree on the following CFP scenarios?

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They will not penalize a top 2 team for losing a close game to a top 2 team.

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They've also shown they value quality wins over losses. Look at Clemson at #4. Worst loss by far, but more solid (not great) wins than anyone, and the strongest SOS so far.

All of these teams in contention, except ND, will be playing a championship game against a very highly rated team that same weekend. That's going to be a lot of fun.