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CFP Rankings / Data

Posted on 12/31/25 at 10:53 am
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
20726 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 10:53 am
Overall Rank FEI/SP+:
IU 1/2
OSU 2/1
Oregon 3/3
TX Tech 5/3
UGA 6/5
Miami 8/9
OM 12/6
Bama 10/15

Miami v Ohio State
6 v 1, OSU (-9.5), SP+ 29-19 OSU

OM v UGA
7 v 5, UGA (-6.5), SP+ 27-27 tie

TX Tech v Oregon
3 v 4, Oregon (-2.5), SP+ Tech 28-26

Bama v IU
8 v 1, IU (-6.5), SP+ IU 31-18

Takeaways
-Some interesting lines relative to the computers with three games almost a touchdown above their predicted line (Oregon 4.5, Bama 7 and UGA 6.5)
-Very odd for three games at this point in the season to be that unaligned at this point in the year
-Bama might be explained by injuries and OM due to the coaching change but don’t understand the Oregon line
This post was edited on 12/31/25 at 10:54 am
Posted by Sandwich
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
6152 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 10:59 am to
Ole miss and UGA will be interesting. I'm curious how much the loss of lane and the improvement by the UGA defense will effect this one.
Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
7783 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 11:10 am to
The data that means most to me is the talent rankings.

No team has won a national title since recruiting rankings have existed without at least 50% of their roster being blue-chip players (4 or 5 stars)

OSU - 79%
Bama - 78%
UGA - 75%
Oregon - 67%
Miami - 55%

Ole Miss - 48% (very close... perhaps good enough)

TT - 26%
Indiana - 10%

While these won't predict a single game (as Indiana beating OSU showed)... I think the data is very relevant in terms of looking at who can win 3-4 games in a row to win the playoff.

It's very possible that the top 4 teams listed will be in the final 4 after the next couple of days.
Posted by Sandwich
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
6152 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 11:29 am to
I would say that's a depth thing would you? Most teams have backups a smidge worse than the starters that recruit at a high level. I'd say teams like Indiana and TT are a few Injuries away from disaster..maybe that's why
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