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re: Betting Trends- 73% of betting public taking State +24
Posted on 10/25/12 at 2:14 pm to Brodeur
Posted on 10/25/12 at 2:14 pm to Brodeur
quote:
So why don't the "sharp" bettors wait for 75% of the public to bet State and take it after the line goes down?
Let me try this a different way. Once an initial line is published, Las Vegas doesn't have anything to do with it's movement after that. It's movement is predicated on the percentage of dollars wagered on each team. As long as the percentage stays at or very near 50% for each team the line will not move. This has nothing to do with the percentage of PEOPLE betting on each team, only the amount of MONEY bet on each team. Let's say that only 100 people were going to bet on the MSU/Alabama game. Let's say Las Vegas casinos published an initial point spread of 24 points. 99 people out of the 100 could bet $1 on MSU and if the lone Alabama bettor bet $99, the point spread would not move off 24, even though 99% of the betting public went with MSU, because $99 came in on each team.
1
Posted on 10/25/12 at 2:51 pm to King Crimson
Not necessarily always the case. Look up reverse line movement. Vegas will move some lines WITH the money to try and attract MORE money on a certain side.
Posted on 10/25/12 at 3:08 pm to bamafan425
quote:
Not necessarily always the case. Look up reverse line movement. Vegas will move some lines WITH the money to try and attract MORE money on a certain side.
No casino or sports book is going to risk it's money on a sporting event.
Posted on 10/25/12 at 3:53 pm to King Crimson
So you're saying reverse line movement doesn't exist?
I promise you, it's real.
I promise you, it's real.
Posted on 10/27/12 at 10:51 pm to CoonassBulldog
quote:
I already have- put 750 on it yesterday. Easiest money since I took LSU to pummel State in the opening game of 2007 Christmas gonna be sweet this year
Posted on 10/27/12 at 10:52 pm to fillmoregandt
Nice Bump!
Posted on 10/27/12 at 10:56 pm to CoonassBulldog
quote:
They can put a big ridiculous number up and still get dumbasses to bet on Bammer
LOL
Posted on 10/27/12 at 10:56 pm to SwayzeBalla
Do we need to pass the hat to keep Coonass from getting evicted?
Posted on 10/27/12 at 10:58 pm to Rebelgator
Christmas is going to suck for Da Coon.
Posted on 10/27/12 at 11:00 pm to Palmetto08
Public lost their arse huh?
Posted on 10/27/12 at 11:00 pm to SwayzeBalla
You mean Kwanzaa.
Posted on 10/27/12 at 11:02 pm to SwayzeBalla
CHRISTMAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED
Posted on 10/27/12 at 11:03 pm to CoonassBulldog
(no message)
Posted on 10/27/12 at 11:04 pm to Latarian
NO MORE GHEY #BELIEVE TWEETS !!111
Posted on 10/27/12 at 11:05 pm to ImperialPalace
How did that work out for you?
Posted on 10/27/12 at 11:06 pm to Latarian
Posted on 10/27/12 at 11:07 pm to SwayzeBalla
Posted on 10/27/12 at 11:08 pm to Billy Mays
Looks like Coonass and his family will be cancelling Christmas this year as well as living off the land for the next 4 months.
Posted on 10/27/12 at 11:08 pm to SwayzeBalla
Im looking forward to seeing which deflection strategy coonass and bundy employ. my guess is "did yall see dak? I predicted he was going to be good and you ranters wouldnt believe me. right again" from coonass
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