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re: Bama vs FL prediction thread

Posted on 9/13/21 at 2:36 pm to
Posted by RollingwiththeTide
Member since Oct 2020
3681 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 2:36 pm to
I will say Bama wins but gonna hold on a prediction. I would feel much better about a Bama W if #31 for Bama was 100%. Right now we don’t know if he will even play. Losing WA would be a big damn deal.
Posted by gatorsimz
cafe risque
Member since Feb 2009
8135 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 2:38 pm to
Glad to see some Bama fans thinking this will be close. Gives me hope. The Swamp can be a difference maker so we’ll see if we can rattle you guys a bit.
Posted by boXerrumble
Member since Sep 2011
52279 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

UF's D line is one of the best that we have had in a long time. The Swamp will be in full force on Saturday. Dan is great at coming up with a game plan to attack the Saban defense. UF is leading the country in rushing.

Can UF run the ball on Bama? Can UF make open field tackles unlike Miami?

42 - 35 Gators in OT


This guy fricks
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Dan is great at coming up with a game plan to attack the Saban defense.


Is he?

2009 MSU - 3 pts, 3.74 YPP
2010 MSU - 10 pts, 4.15 YPP
2011 MSU - 7 pts, 2.22 YPP
2012 MSU - 7 pts, 4.49 YPP
2013 MSU - 7 pts, 3.40 YPP
2014 MSU - 20 pts, 4.86 YPP
2015 MSU - 6 pts, 4.52 YPP
2016 MSU - 3 pts, 3.51 YPP
2017 MSU - 24 pts, 4.52 YPP
2020 UF - 46 pts, 7.00 YPP


In reality you mean Florida did some nice things last year with some fantastic skill players. Because other than that, Dan hasn't done much of anything offensively against Saban.
This post was edited on 9/13/21 at 2:44 pm
Posted by boXerrumble
Member since Sep 2011
52279 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 2:56 pm to
Admittedly Miss State vs Bama talent is a fairly significant factor
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

Admittedly Miss State vs Bama talent is a fairly significant factor



2014 with Dak Prescott
20 pts, 4.86 YPP

2015 with Dak Prescott
6 pts, 4.52 YPP



Mullen is a very good offensive coach, but it's the stretch of all stretches to say he has had Saban's defenses number (like, for instance, Malzahn did).

His best results were with the passing version of his offense (last year, 2014's Dak team). He's had very little success with the QB run centric version of his offense (2015 Dak, Fitzgerald).
This post was edited on 9/13/21 at 3:00 pm
Posted by MrBiriwa
Biriwa,OH
Member since Nov 2010
7116 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 2:59 pm to
This game is giving me USCw 2010 vibes. Not saying we lose but I dont like this game being early in the season with Saban already questioning team focus

The Swamp will be rocking and everyone doubting the QB's much like they did Garcia that day will have whoever plays in position to play the game of their lives for the win
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

This game is giving me USCw 2010 vibes. Not saying we lose but I dont like this game being early in the season with Saban already questioning team focus

The Swamp will be rocking and everyone doubting the QB's much like they did Garcia that day will have whoever plays in position to play the game of their lives for the win



The first 2 SEC games are going to be very difficult for us (@ Florida, Ole Miss). I think our defense travels well, but I'm not quite sure what to expect on offense.

Our margin for error is just a lot smaller than it was the past few years because our offense isn't some kind of all-time great juggernaut. And even with a better defense, when you play a game that involves less points (great defense, less great offense), that means pts off mistakes matter more (because there are less of them in total). And so, the margin for screw ups is much lower.

But this was always how it was going to be, so it's hilarious to read all the chicken littles freaking out about it as if us not averaging 55 pts and 600 YPG this year is a "problem" that nobody could have foreseen .
This post was edited on 9/13/21 at 3:03 pm
Posted by boXerrumble
Member since Sep 2011
52279 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 3:04 pm to
Again true but now the question is with a dual threat offense with better talent overall (UF vs MSU talent composite), can he have success?

Basically Mullen hasn’t any vs Saban in this type of offense since Tebow played.

I doubt Emory will (Richardson is an unknown quantity throwing but he certainly flashes a ton throwing in limited snaps)
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

Again true but now the question is with a dual threat offense with better talent overall (UF vs MSU talent composite), can he have success?

Basically Mullen hasn’t any vs Saban in this type of offense since Tebow played.


I mean, maybe, but we played a lot of offenses with similar "talent" to Mississippi State's and quite a few of them consistently gave us more trouble than Mullen's did - including some Alabama defenses that were not great (2014, 2017). So, who knows. I'm sure Mullen will have a solid scheme ready, but I think this is our best defense in 5-6 years and would be pretty shocked if we couldn't get consistent stops. Don't think we're going to shut Florida out or anything, but 17-24 pts or something sounds about right.

The other side of the ball, though, I have no clue. Much more nervous there.

Posted by tigerland81
Pensacola
Member since Dec 2003
367 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 3:13 pm to
I’m predicting Bryce Young will not have the amount of time he had first two games. 3-4 sacks . 31-23 Bama.
Posted by BFANLC
The Beach
Member since Oct 2007
18119 posts
Posted on 9/20/21 at 7:29 pm to
quote:

I’m predicting Bryce Young will not have the amount of time he had first two games. 3-4 sacks . 31-23 Bama.


Think you got the closest. There were a lot of us predicting a close game. Those of us who did congrats! The rest of yall...take notes.
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