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re: 2019-20 KenPom Ratings are Out for SEC Basketball

Posted on 10/20/19 at 12:11 pm to
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 10/20/19 at 12:11 pm to


He has them favored in 6 games. None in SEC play.
Posted by WilliamTaylor21
2720 Arse Whipping Avenue
Member since Dec 2013
35930 posts
Posted on 10/20/19 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

70. Alabama (14-15)

How’s the weather down there?
Posted by SoloTiger
Member since Aug 2016
9485 posts
Posted on 10/20/19 at 12:16 pm to
A rating before teams even play a game.

Yeah. I want to put stick in that.

Not.
Posted by pioneerbasketball
Team Bunchie
Member since Oct 2005
132307 posts
Posted on 10/20/19 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

A rating before teams even play a game.

Yeah. I want to put stick in that.

Not.

kenpom is usually the best metric but you are correct.
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 10/20/19 at 2:20 pm to
Yeah not a lot of value but it is by far the best metric and even Vegas trusts it. Most of the spreads (even early season) will be within a few points of the KP score.
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 10/20/19 at 2:21 pm to
6th in KenPom

13th in the media poll.

Hmmm...
Posted by WaydownSouth
Stratton Oakmont
Member since Nov 2018
8150 posts
Posted on 10/20/19 at 2:48 pm to
We beat Tenn without waters and reid contributed 2 points.

This team has more depth. The biggest hole left will be by KBW. He cleaned up a lot around the rim.

I’ll be shocked if LSU isn’t in the top 4

ETA: They have a fairly weak OOC schedule. They won’t lose more than 2 games if any. I’d say 12-6/11-7 at worse in league play.

That puts them around 23-8 or 22-9
This post was edited on 10/20/19 at 2:52 pm
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 10/20/19 at 3:04 pm to


Here is the game by game breakdown.
Posted by WaydownSouth
Stratton Oakmont
Member since Nov 2018
8150 posts
Posted on 10/20/19 at 4:37 pm to
That has us at 21-10

8 conf losses
2 OOC losses

I think we’ll beat Ole Miss and A&M on the road

Puts us at 23-8 (12-6)

Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 10/20/19 at 4:43 pm to
It has LSU at 19-12. The projected record is right there on the screen at the bottom.

When you add up the win probabilities of all 31 games you get 19.

If one game is a 50% win probability, one game is a 51% win probability and a third game is 51% win probability you have a projected record of 1.52-1.48 record in those three games and a 13% chance of going 3-0, despite all games being projected as “wins” on the game by game schedule.
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