re: 2015 UT vs Uf will be like 1995 UT vs Bama

I've actually ran the numbers and according to Rivals rankings Florida has only 1 more 4* on their roster than TN right now and the exact same number of 5*.

Florida has about 10 less scholarship players than TN that were recruited so the depth for UF is a bit worse but your 4* % per player is better.

But overall the talent is about as even as it can get.

But I will say that UF has a lot more upperclassmen 4 and 5* then TN because about 80% of ours are SOph's or Freshman.

So this idea that TN is some way more talented team tahn UF is probably not true.

The reasons I feel pretty good about the game is I like that we are in year 3 of our systems while UF will only be in game 3. UF has changed their O so much over the past 5 years that there is no way they'll be gelled by then. They aren't settled at QB and we are which helps our case as well.

Pretty much besides QB and comfort in the system I'd call this game a wash. UF gets a bit of help being at home but I also think that helps TN so we get away from the pressre cooker of NEyland in this streak breaking situation.

Should be a fun game but I think our DL vs your OL helps us secure the W pretty comfortably due to the QB issues.

I don't think it is an ADVANTAGE for TN over UF.

I just think it isn't the typical home away difference due to how our last two games in Knoxville have gone vs. you all.

Both, if you were there, you could cut the tension with a knife and in the second halves of both games the fans I felt did just as much harm as good to the home team.

I can't explain it and it may be idiotic but I swear I felt it.


Anyway overall the home field is still an advantage for UF for sure, but it all depends on if you take care of UK the week before.

IF somehow you drop that one I could see fans dreading possibly seeing the streak end to TN and it be pretty easy to silence the crowd.

Yea as much as I want to believe that TN beating UF will be easy this year I can't.

The talent is there, I agree that you all could have a very solid 8-4 type season as well. The only teams you play with more talent then UF are UGA, LSU, Ole Miss and FSU. TN is right there about equal at this point.

The good news for TN is I think it is good we get you early. Your OL and QB situations seem to me like they will take some time to figure out. Add to that equation that it looks like we have an elite DL I think we can likely exploit that one weakness on your team.

Now what can our O do against your D is the big question. I like that DObbs hasn't faced UF before and I think his mobility will really help. But once again we need to be able to come out line up and be able to run the ball against you all and I am still worried that will be very tough with our OL vs your DL.

Hopefully for us having Dobbs and actually being able to run our offense correctly for the first time in 3 years versus yall will help us be able to get the run game going somewhat.

I had convinced myself listening to the chatter on the Vol boards that this one would be a couple TD win for TN but now I think I am back down to the 20-14 type score for the winner.

At home, Tennessee gave up about 307 yards per game.

On the road, Tennessee gave up about 432 yards per game.

Josh Dobbs had a 140 QB rating at home, and 6 TD to 2 INT last year. On the road he had a 118 QB rating with 3 TD and 4 INT.

You can find a million more stats like this.

The overwhelming statistical evidence, is that Tennessee is not as good a team on the road. It's been that way for a while.

To think UT has any kind of advantage play @ UF is laughable.

So you're saying, UT plays so badly against UF on the average, that playing UF in BHG isn't an issue? Because UT can't possibly play any worse against UF than they do at home?

OK, I guess I can accept that.

Solid analysis ITT.