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Georgia Sill Can Make it to college playoff-Yahoo
Posted on 10/15/19 at 7:55 pm
Posted on 10/15/19 at 7:55 pm
Can Georgia still make the College Football Playoff?
Yes.
Georgia will need to run the table and win the SEC Championship, but wins over Florida, Auburn, Missouri and Texas A&M, and then whoever makes it out of the SEC West (Alabama or LSU, most likely) should be enough for a one-loss Georgia team to earn a spot in the dance.
The College Football Playoff isn’t reserved for undefeated teams. We’ve seen plenty of teams overcome bad defeats to make a run to the tournament.
In 2014, Ohio State lost at home to a Virginia Tech team that went on to finish 7-6. The Buckeyes still made the playoff and won the national title. Ohio State was as high as 50-1 after the loss to the Hokies in Week 2.
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The next season, Michigan State made the playoff despite a loss against Nebraska. In 2017, Clemson lost to 4-8 Syracuse before winning the ACC and making the playoff, underlining the fact that a single loss — no matter how bad it is — does not dash your hopes of competing for a national title.
Are the 2019 Georgia Bulldogs going to be the next team to overcome a dud to make the dance?
Wilson: Using projected spreads to answer the Georgia question
The Bulldogs are still contenders thanks to an excellent defense, which currently ranks 31st in defensive havoc and eighth in defensive success rate.
The problem is that the offense is being held back by conservative play calling, even though new offensive coordinator James Coley has seemingly fixed Georgia’s red zone issues from last season. The Bulldogs rank fourth in red zone scoring percentage and are inside the top-25 in red zone touchdown rate.
Georgia is maximizing its trips into opponent territory, but the biggest problem is Coley’s conservative play calling is allowing opponents like Notre Dame and South Carolina to hang around.
Georgia is now listed at 16-1 to win the National Title at the Westgate SuperBook. The best way to decide if Georgia is worth an investment is to take a look at its schedule, using listed odds for this week and our projected spreads beyond that, to see how tough the path will be:
? Kentucky +24.5
? Florida +6 (projected)
? Missouri +12 (projected)
? At Auburn +4 (projected)
? Texas A&M +12 (projected)
? At Georgia Tech +30.5 (projected)
? SEC Championship Game: Alabama -10, LSU -3.5 (projected)
Generating projected moneyline prices for Georgia’s remaining schedule puts the Bulldogs around +240 to make the SEC Championship game without another loss. A head-to-head with Alabama would put Georgia’s odds to make the playoffs at 13-1, while a game against LSU projects the Bulldogs at 7-1.
That means that the best way to invest in Georgia to win the national title is to create a rolling parlay. The Bulldogs will need to win out to have a chance, so a bet on the ‘Dawgs to win the title is basically a 9-team parlay from Week 8 through the national championship game.
So instead of backing Georgia at 16-1, you’d stake a bet (let’s say $100 for a nice round number) on Georgia’s moneyline. After each win, you’d fully re-invest your initial stake and profit and keep rolling it over game by game (some sportsbooks offer the option to create open parlays, so if you have that option you can always go that route).
If you choose to roll Georgia throughout the rest of the season, the real value would come if Alabama defeats LSU to make the SEC Championship. If everything goes according to plan and Georgia wins out, this rolling parlay would be around 35-1 if LSU is its SEC Championship opponent, but 65-1 if it’s Alabama, assuming Georgia is a +120 underdog in both the CFB semifinals and championship game.
Yes.
Georgia will need to run the table and win the SEC Championship, but wins over Florida, Auburn, Missouri and Texas A&M, and then whoever makes it out of the SEC West (Alabama or LSU, most likely) should be enough for a one-loss Georgia team to earn a spot in the dance.
The College Football Playoff isn’t reserved for undefeated teams. We’ve seen plenty of teams overcome bad defeats to make a run to the tournament.
In 2014, Ohio State lost at home to a Virginia Tech team that went on to finish 7-6. The Buckeyes still made the playoff and won the national title. Ohio State was as high as 50-1 after the loss to the Hokies in Week 2.
Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
The next season, Michigan State made the playoff despite a loss against Nebraska. In 2017, Clemson lost to 4-8 Syracuse before winning the ACC and making the playoff, underlining the fact that a single loss — no matter how bad it is — does not dash your hopes of competing for a national title.
Are the 2019 Georgia Bulldogs going to be the next team to overcome a dud to make the dance?
Wilson: Using projected spreads to answer the Georgia question
The Bulldogs are still contenders thanks to an excellent defense, which currently ranks 31st in defensive havoc and eighth in defensive success rate.
The problem is that the offense is being held back by conservative play calling, even though new offensive coordinator James Coley has seemingly fixed Georgia’s red zone issues from last season. The Bulldogs rank fourth in red zone scoring percentage and are inside the top-25 in red zone touchdown rate.
Georgia is maximizing its trips into opponent territory, but the biggest problem is Coley’s conservative play calling is allowing opponents like Notre Dame and South Carolina to hang around.
Georgia is now listed at 16-1 to win the National Title at the Westgate SuperBook. The best way to decide if Georgia is worth an investment is to take a look at its schedule, using listed odds for this week and our projected spreads beyond that, to see how tough the path will be:
? Kentucky +24.5
? Florida +6 (projected)
? Missouri +12 (projected)
? At Auburn +4 (projected)
? Texas A&M +12 (projected)
? At Georgia Tech +30.5 (projected)
? SEC Championship Game: Alabama -10, LSU -3.5 (projected)
Generating projected moneyline prices for Georgia’s remaining schedule puts the Bulldogs around +240 to make the SEC Championship game without another loss. A head-to-head with Alabama would put Georgia’s odds to make the playoffs at 13-1, while a game against LSU projects the Bulldogs at 7-1.
That means that the best way to invest in Georgia to win the national title is to create a rolling parlay. The Bulldogs will need to win out to have a chance, so a bet on the ‘Dawgs to win the title is basically a 9-team parlay from Week 8 through the national championship game.
So instead of backing Georgia at 16-1, you’d stake a bet (let’s say $100 for a nice round number) on Georgia’s moneyline. After each win, you’d fully re-invest your initial stake and profit and keep rolling it over game by game (some sportsbooks offer the option to create open parlays, so if you have that option you can always go that route).
If you choose to roll Georgia throughout the rest of the season, the real value would come if Alabama defeats LSU to make the SEC Championship. If everything goes according to plan and Georgia wins out, this rolling parlay would be around 35-1 if LSU is its SEC Championship opponent, but 65-1 if it’s Alabama, assuming Georgia is a +120 underdog in both the CFB semifinals and championship game.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 7:56 pm to TrueLefty
Sure. But I doubt they will. It's gonna be hard for them to beat Florida, Auburn, and Bama/LSU.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 7:59 pm to TrueLefty
Jesus Christ. It's 2019, you don't have to type all that shite.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 8:01 pm to TT9
quote:
Jesus Christ. It's 2019, you don't have to type all that shite.
I did not! I copied then pasted it on here from Yahoo.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 8:07 pm to TrueLefty
There’s a better way to post this
Posted on 10/15/19 at 8:10 pm to I Bleed Garnet
quote:
here’s a better way to post this
Some fans were not wanted to open link! Told me to post the story instead the link.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 8:11 pm to TrueLefty
quote:
Some fans were not wanted to open link!
English please?
Posted on 10/15/19 at 8:13 pm to TrueLefty
They couldn't beat the gamecocks at home against a third string quarterback. The thought of them even beating florida is absurd.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 8:17 pm to Mootsman
quote:
They couldn't beat the gamecocks at home against a third string quarterback. The thought of them even beating florida is absurd.
Wyoming beat Missouri! So that mean Wyoming should be able to beat USC and others that Missouri beat after that loss to them?
This post was edited on 10/15/19 at 8:19 pm
Posted on 10/15/19 at 8:26 pm to TrueLefty
Did we really need yahoo to tell us that?
Posted on 10/15/19 at 8:29 pm to TrueLefty
Georgia will lose to A&M.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 8:32 pm to TrueLefty
Every SEC team with 1 loss can still make it
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