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re: Why have the fatalities from the delta variant not increased?

Posted on 8/10/21 at 8:52 pm to
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
22927 posts
Posted on 8/10/21 at 8:52 pm to
quote:


634,636 deaths in 36,888,508 cases is a death rate of 1.72%. Your number is slightly off by 1.5%. Not gonna call it bullshite, just a tad less than accurate. The 0.2/99.8% figure is the percentage of Americans who've died from it, regardless if they've had it or not.


You are using the wrong formula. You are only counting known cases vs deaths.

The real formula they use for these things includes estimated number of cases that were not tested for. And that is about 0.2% for covid and 0.1% for the flu. So about twice as deadly as the flu.

And while they may seem like lower numbers, and they are in terms of individual risk, when applied to the population you get very large numbers of deaths, 700k in the US alone.



Posted by MoarKilometers
Member since Apr 2015
18193 posts
Posted on 8/10/21 at 9:51 pm to
quote:

You are using the wrong formula. You are only counting known cases vs deaths.

It would take 317,318,000 cases to be a 0.2% death rate with 634,636 deaths.
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