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re: Stat Model - #1 Bama vs #3 OSU (Title) (7 PM CST) (Jan 11)

Posted on 1/4/21 at 8:33 am to
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 1/4/21 at 8:33 am to
quote:

Suggestion: Put OSU's 5 reg season game stats in twice to simulate that they played 10 games.



Won't change anything - math basically stays the same
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 1/4/21 at 8:33 am to
FYI - ran it without Clemson included..........almost no change. Score drops from 41-38 to 41-37. Our YPP actually drops by .05 from 6.48 to 6.43. Their YPP drops from 6.53 to 6.35.

They basically hit their % of opponent averages against Clemson the same they hit them against the rest of their schedule, and their defense was similar as well (I mean, they did give up 400 yards passing).

Might just be a really, really good football team
This post was edited on 1/4/21 at 8:36 am
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