re: Arkansas 2020 is Arkansas 2019 with a better turnover margin

Fisher has consistently shown he won’t put Mond in position to do that. He’s only had two multi-INT games in 30 starts under Jimbo, despite being a very average college QB most of the time. For better or worse he protects his QBs, sometimes to his detriment.

If Odom plays A&M like he has played...well, virtually everyone since his days at Mizzu, Mond may only throw the ball 15-20 times. ANY QB who throws it 40-50 times against that defense will throw multiple picks.

Auburn was up 17-0 and had nearly 200 yards of offense before Nix threw his 5th pass of the game. They were 80/20 run, then went nearly 50/50 pass the rest of the way. Had they continued to run it for 7+ YPC at an 80% clip like they were that game is a laugher. Similarly, once Georgia put Bennett in and went run/run/pass they dominated.

Arkansas right now isn’t generating nearly enough offense to beat teams without a lot of help, and if their defense doesn’t get the chance to generate that help they aren’t good enough (and the scheme doesn’t allow for them) to actually stop teams willing to take the 5-6 YPP Odom’s defense allows for hoping you’ll make a mistake.

Run the ball (and thereby limit turnovers), play defense and take the three rather than trying to beat their short yardage defense. When teams have used this tactic they’ve dominated Arkansas, and if MSU and OM decided to practice this on even a moderate scale Arkansas would be 0-4.

Odom is betting on you thinking you’re smarter than him. If you call his bluff and say thanks for the outmanned/undersized boxes and free 5 yards, going even back to his days at Mizzu, he gets gashed on the ground or panics and throws DBs blitzes at it for play action over the top. Patient OCs are his kryptonite.