quote:
It may be far more lethal...but we don't actually know the mortality rate of the coronavirus yet because we don't know how many actual cases there are. There was a man interviewed on our local news station that tested positive; he said he had a mild grade fever and his doctor didn't want to test him initially because his fever was under 102. How many were like this man and were never tested but recovered? We just don't know...and without knowing that, we won't know the mortality rate...

Looks like South Korea is the model to look at as far as response goes...they've tested more and I think their mortality rate is closer to 1%. Still much higher than the flu but much less than say Italy. Is that because Italy's system is overstressed and they're testing mostly sickly people and South Korea is trying to test everyone it can (including healthier folk who are more likely to survive)? I don't know...

So I just found out I work in the same building, one the same floor and on the same hallway as the state's 1st confirmed case of the virus. The bathrooms I use are directly across the hall from this person's office.

Also, I traveled to South Korea in November going through two of the world's busiest airports to get there and back.

We've all been exposed to this virus at some point over the last 3-4 months. They just weren't testing for it then.

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Posted by phil4bama

Emerald Coast of PCB

Member since Jul 2011

11471 posts

Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:24 am to TideSaint

Saint, there are probably far more people that can say the same thing but don't know it. COVID-19 isn't particularly lethal for most people. But if you are in the vulnerable subset, it is pretty deadly. This virus has a hockey stick shaped mortality rate. If you are young, relatively healthy, your odds of surviving it are really high. You keep reading about anecdotal cases that are otherwise healthy and are now on a ventilator. Those are exceptions. Then there's the handle of the hockey stick where as your age increases and your underlying health decreases, your odds of succumbing climb rapidly. And all the medical community can do for you at this point is mechanically support you until you either fight it off or lose the battle. When this is all said and done, I think the mortality rate in most of the world will be closer to 1% than the 6% it is in Italy. Italy is what happens when you don't bend the curve and the health care system gets overwhelmed and starts to fail. This is serious. Social distancing works. Do your part until we can bend the curve.

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