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re: Nashville Dawgs
Posted on 3/3/20 at 3:56 pm to crispyUGA
Posted on 3/3/20 at 3:56 pm to crispyUGA
quote:
Overblown
Exactly what's happening.
quote:
Okay. First, close your eyes.
And imagine a virus that in infected 60 million and killed 12,000 in the US.
quote:
Now open your eyes.
That was the N1N1 virus in '09 and the Coronavirus is drop in the bucket compared to H1N1 and we also have a much quicker reaction from the Feds than we did make back in '09... by about 6 months and 1000 more deaths.
2
Posted on 3/5/20 at 3:54 pm to RD Dawg
This new virus is way more powerful than H1N1. There are two metrics that make this considerably more contagious and deadly:
R0 (how infectious it is):
H1N1 = ~1.5
COVID = ~3
CFR (death rate):
H1N1 = 0.08%
COVID = 3.4% (Latest WHO estimate)
This would make this new virus significantly more infectious and fatal than the Spanish flu of 1918 (R0 2, CFR 2.5%), which killed tens of millions of people worldwide. This new virus is disproportionately killing the sick and elderly, as this is already being called the "Boomer Pox."
It ain't the end of the world, but this ain't no typical "flu" either.
R0 (how infectious it is):
H1N1 = ~1.5
COVID = ~3
CFR (death rate):
H1N1 = 0.08%
COVID = 3.4% (Latest WHO estimate)
This would make this new virus significantly more infectious and fatal than the Spanish flu of 1918 (R0 2, CFR 2.5%), which killed tens of millions of people worldwide. This new virus is disproportionately killing the sick and elderly, as this is already being called the "Boomer Pox."
It ain't the end of the world, but this ain't no typical "flu" either.
This post was edited on 3/5/20 at 4:01 pm
Posted on 3/6/20 at 7:04 pm to RD Dawg
30,000 to 60,000 die every year in the US from the flu.
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