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re: SI ranks college football's most talented rosters

Posted on 1/23/20 at 10:20 pm to
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
9537 posts
Posted on 1/23/20 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

--Using the 247 Sports Composite recruiting rankings of the three major services (247, Rivals, and ESPN), we give each player on the roster a point total based on the star they were assessed as a recruit. So 5 points for a 5-star, 4 points for a 4-star, etc.

--We only evaluate the last four recruiting classes, so for this year that's 2017-20. That's because 5th-year seniors at the power five conference level are just not as impactful or plentiful as they used to be. But if a 5th-year senior figures prominently on the depth chart, they are still accounted for.

Wait.. so they are using the 247 composite ratings to determine how much talent is on each team’s roster? That’s brilliant! I can’t believe nobody else has ever thought of this!

Although, SI’s math seems a little lazy. Somebody who understands statistics should try to work out a better formula.

Also...
quote:

--To account for teams that are considered "developmental" programs, thus they don't recruit a lot of 4-and-5-star prospects, as their players overachieve their incoming star rating they are given additional points. For example, Minnesota's Tanner Morgan was just the No. 1185th-rated prospect coming out of high school, but he clearly played above that last season. Therefore, he's now considered a 4-star in this metric.



Translated: “We fudge the numbers when we feel like it because what’s the point of a ranking system without obvious bias?”
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
28504 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 1:08 am to
quote:

To account for teams that are considered "developmental" programs, thus they don't recruit a lot of 4-and-5-star prospects, as their players overachieve their incoming star rating they are given additional points. For example, Minnesota's Tanner Morgan was just the No. 1185th-rated prospect coming out of high school, but he clearly played above that last season. Therefore, he's now considered a 4-star in this metric.


quote:

Translated: “We fudge the numbers when we feel like it because what’s the point of a ranking system without obvious bias?”

Exactly. And he doesn't tell us what it means to overacheive as others have pointed out, just because a WR puts up big numbers for Purdue doesn't mean he's a 4 star talent. It just means they don't have anyone else to throw to.

The fact that he would publish this is laughable.
This post was edited on 1/24/20 at 1:11 am
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