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re: UGA Pass Defense isn't as Good as Advertised

Posted on 12/6/19 at 11:42 am to
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22163 posts
Posted on 12/6/19 at 11:42 am to
quote:

UGA is holding teams to 65% of their season rushing average and 76% of their passing average, which are both elite numbers. In contrast, LSU holds teams to 83% of their rushing average and 92% of their passing.



Let's say this plays out.

Here's what the stats would look like:

LSU
Passing: 290
Rushing: 114
Total: 404

UGA:
Passing: 197
Rushing: 161
Total: 358

LSU averages 11.8 yards per point, so with 404 total yards, that translates to roughly 34 points.

UGA averages 13.5 yards per point, so with 358 total yards, that translates to roughly 26 points.

LSU wins 34-26.

I think what this shows is that UGA is going to have to get a big turnover or two.
This post was edited on 12/6/19 at 11:44 am
Posted by atlanta917
Atlanta
Member since Jan 2017
5690 posts
Posted on 12/6/19 at 11:44 am to
quote:

Let's say this plays out. Here's what the stats would look like: LSU Passing: 290 Rushing: 114 Total: 404 UGA: Passing: 197 Rushing: 161 Total: 358

That is correct. LSU is still predicted to win, but that wasn’t the topic. The topic was UGA’s defense wasn’t as good as advertised and that is incorrect. Here’s the breakdown video if you’re curious. LINK
This post was edited on 12/6/19 at 11:45 am
Posted by TearsofKnowshon
Athens
Member since Dec 2013
3135 posts
Posted on 12/6/19 at 11:44 am to
quote:

Let's say this plays out.

Here's what the stats would look like:

LSU
Passing: 290
Rushing: 114
Total: 404

UGA:
Passing: 197
Rushing: 161
Total: 358

LSU averages 11.8 yards per point, so with 404 total yards, that translates to roughly 34 points.

UGA averages 13.5 yards per point, so with 358 total yards, that translates to roughly 26 points.

LSU wins 34-26.


I don't think you'd find many UGA fans who would have issue with that projection. The problem comes from the morons saying LSU is going to drop 50 and UGA won't score more than 14.
This post was edited on 12/6/19 at 11:45 am
Posted by Dawgfanman
Member since Jun 2015
22517 posts
Posted on 12/6/19 at 11:46 am to
quote:

LSU wins 34-26


That seems like a reasonable prediction if both teams play their normal game. UGA needs an unusual performance on offense or a few mistakes by LSU to win this game. LSU fans seem to think it’ll be a 3 score LSU win
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