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re: Potential best plan for Tua
Posted on 12/5/19 at 3:47 pm to chillmonster
Posted on 12/5/19 at 3:47 pm to chillmonster
quote:
Absolutely not. If he's picked in the teens he's looking at a signing bonus in the $8-12m range.
If he gets close to a guarantee from a team they'll pick him in the teens yes.
If not and late 1st to 2nd is in play the rehab plan could make him a significant amount of money.
2
Posted on 12/5/19 at 3:53 pm to rolltide32
quote:
If not and late 1st to 2nd is in play the rehab plan could make him a significant amount of money.
Lamar Jackson got just under 10MM. So, let's say Tua goes late first instead of top 5 and loses out on 22MM on his first contract.
Tua would have to get a contract comparable to Nick Foles (22MM a season) for his second deal to make up the difference. So the question Tua needs to ask himself is whether or not he believes he will be a 1st rd pick that will be better than Nick Foles. If he thinks that he should go pro.
This doesn't even take into account ever rising contracts and the time value of money.
Posted on 12/5/19 at 4:33 pm to rolltide32
quote:
If he gets close to a guarantee from a team they'll pick him in the teens yes.
If not and late 1st to 2nd is in play the rehab plan could make him a significant amount of money
You also have to to keep in mind he will not be the first or second QB drafted in the 21' draft even if he's healthy.
Now, let's game it out on a best case worst case scenario health & rehab wise.
Enter the Draft:
Best Case: He makes $6-15 million over the next 3 years then possibly signs a $100m contract.
Total NFL Earnings: $106-115 million
Worst Case: He makes $6-15 million over then next 3 years and never plays football again.
Total NFL Earnings: $6-15 million
Wait a Year:
Best Case: He makes $10-25 million over the next 4 years with zero coming next year. Then he possibly signs a $100 million contract.
Total NFL Earnings: $110-125 million
Worst Case: He is undraftable and makes nothing.
Total NFL Earnings:
This is a serious no-brainer. Anyone who tells him different is giving some terrible advice.
This post was edited on 12/5/19 at 4:36 pm
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