re: Opening lines for potential CFP games involving Utah, OU, Alabama, UGA, LSU, Clemson, OSU

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Going to go out on a limb and say that Bovada, one of the main odds makers in Vegas, knows a little more about this stuff than you.

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Vegas doesn’t give a shite who wins. They set a line based on the amount of money is poured in on each side of a game. They will make money no matter what. If a bunch of money comes in towards LSU and only a fraction of the money comes in with OSU or Clemson or whomever is the opponent, then the line increases in favor of LSU. If you see a line come towards the mean (pick ‘em) closer to kickoff, usually the sharps know something so put your money towards the team that is gaining momentum. Last season, Bama was minus 6 to Clemson at the start. Closer to game time it was around -4.5 and we saw what happened.