re: Can Alabama get into playoffs without TUA?

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"To this point..." is exactly nothing more than that: to this point.

And, to this point, Alabama is ahead of Oregon. If Alabama soundly defeats Auburn in their house behind a back-up QB, that makes Oregon's loss to them at a neutral site even worse.

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Fair, but to this point Oregon still does not have what would be their best win in their resume... potentially over an 11-1 Utah.

Hate to say it but LSU winning out is hardly a sure thing. That Defense is a concern.