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re: Pretend LSU beats Alabama in 2 weeks..

Posted on 10/25/19 at 11:32 am to
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 10/25/19 at 11:32 am to
quote:

But I'm not sure we'd have a win over a ranked team either. Our schedule would be better, but we wouldn't have enough juice in it to truly create a controversy.


As long as Auburn doesn't lose to Ole Miss or Samford, they'll be in the final Top 25. At worst they'd be 8-4 with a win over Oregon. They'll also likely be a slight favorite to beat Georgia at this point since the game is in Auburn. Auburn could very well be 9-3 with wins over Oregon and Georgia. That would put them in the Top 15.

Also, based on current SP+ rankings, here are Clemson's opponents:

#25 Texas A&M
#33 South Carolina
#45 Wake Forest
#55 North Carolina
#57 Florida State
#60 NC State
#62 Boston College
#63 Louisville
#67 Syracuse
#95 Georgia Tech
#111 Charlotte
FCS Wofford

Their best two opponents are Texas A&M and South Carolina... two teams that Bama would have also played and in all likelihood would have performed better against.

If Bama's loss is to Top 4 LSU and they have a win over #10 Auburn, you can bet there will be a debate.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/25/19 at 11:35 am to
I mean you are preaching to the choir here Kyle. Clemson's schedule is possibly the worst major P5 schedule (especially when you tack on another crappy game in Charlotte) for a true title contender in years. They will have no marquee opponents AND almost no mid-level quality opponents. Their only mid-level quality opponents may actually hurt them overall, because they will end up being SEC teams that finished 6-6 or 7-5.

I personally think Clemson at this point is right at or near Alabama in terms of "respect" given by the national media/hierarchy, and if they are sitting on a 13-0 record, 28 game winning streak and fresh off a 15-0 national title season (that included a 28 pt win over Alabama) that there is a 0.0% chance they are getting left out of the playoff. Especially if Alabama's resume is overall pretty meh (better than Clemson's, but not eye popping). None at all.

That's why I say that LSU would have a much better shot - they'd have flashy wins, better metrics and a close road loss to a team with the longest home winning streak in college football.
This post was edited on 10/25/19 at 11:39 am
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