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re: Why do we have to recount ballots until the Democrats win

Posted on 11/13/18 at 7:48 am to
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 11/13/18 at 7:48 am to
quote:

Funny, considering Republicans have gerrymandered this country to hell and back. Maybe when Republicans stop suppressing voter’s rights, this can stop.


I think Republicans are basically done as a viable political party. For decades. I think it's almost a certainty the Dems will control all of government in two years. The Senate map for the GOP in 2020 is one of the worst ever for them. Trump is going to get humiliated if he runs in 2020 (he may not after the Dems get through investigating him or he may run just to try to stay out of jail after he leaves office). And the Dems will still have the House.

Florida is turning blue and maybe staying that way with the restoration of the 1.4M peoples voting rights that Rick Scott has prevented for the past 8 years.

Texas is very close to going purple then blue, same as Georgia.

I said it before last Tues, trump has totally ruined the Republican party and he embarrasses himself daily. I said the Dems would gain 35-40 seats in the house and it looks like they will have gained 40 seats in the house, 7 governorships, and received 15% more votes than the received just 2 years ago in the presidential election. That is literally 15% of the electorate that has shifted from GOP to Dem in 2 years!

The damage trump has been doing to the GOP is catastrophic. They are fricked as a viable party for a very long time, especially after all the investigations that are about to kick off.
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 11/13/18 at 10:02 am to
Additionally, here is some more perspective about why last Tuesday was a huge wipeout for the GOP (aside from the 15% swing in the overall electorate away from Republicans and the fact the idiot bafoon in the white house claimed victory - HUGE LOL)...

1. 40 seat gain in the House. That is huge. Made even more impressive by the GOP gerrymandering after the 2010 census after which Dems thought they had no chance to control the house until after the 2020 census.

2. The flipping of 7 states governors. The Dems will undo the majority of the GOP gerrymandering in 2 years with the 2020 census.

3. Despite trumps claims to the contrary, even the results in the Senate elections last week were a total beatdown of the GOP. Right now, as things stand, the GOP picked up 1 seat with a max of 2 seats or even a loss of 1 seat possible depending on the FL recount and MS runoff. This is unbelievably bad. The GOP had a historically good Senate map. Dems defending 26 seats, 10 in states Trump won and GOP only defending 9. That kind of map in a normal election should have netted the GOP 10-12 seats. Instead they are up 1 seat. And it gets worse for them. Much worse...

In 2020, the GOP is defending 22 Senate seats, including several in stated Hillary won. The Dems are defending 12. The Senate will flip to the Dems in 2 years, the only question is whether it will be a supermajority (doubtful).

Then it gets worse still for the GOP...

In 2022, the GOP will have 21 seats up for reelection vs 12 for the Dems. By 2022 the Dems will almost certainly have a supermajority.

So to recap, Dems have the house and will be undoing much of the 2010 gerrymandering in 2 years. The Senate will flip in 2 years and be in Dem hands for at least 6 years after. The Dems will have the white house with ease in 2 years if trump runs again (IMO).

Trump has assfricked the GOP worse than anyone in history. It's going to leave a mark for a very long time. The number of voters he has driven away from the GOP in just 2 years is extraordinary.

I said this would happen two years ago when he was elected. I'm sorta a good example of why as well. I didn't even vote in the 2016 election (I know I suck but I never really cared about politics). I voted straight Dem last Tuesday. There are a lot of people like me as well.
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