re: Predict South Carolina's record

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I think they're not as good as their record was last year

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Yeah, they had 5 close wins(7 pts or less) and only 1 close loss which equals a net of +4. The last three years when this happens a team improved their record 25.2% of the time the next year.
Another factor is turnovers. Some turnovers are caused but many are luck. South Carolina was +11 in turnovers last year. Since 1991, only 23% of teams improved their record the next year after having a +11 or greater turnover margin. The percentages say SC should be 8-4 or worse, and I see 7-5.