re: Who gets in the CFP under this scenario?

I'm sorry, I don't like Notre Dame either, but I think their schedule is enough to get them in if they win out, currently. It'd be great if they lost to Miami, who then turned around and lost to Pitt or UVA.

It's going to be tough to keep an undefeated Big 10 champ out of the Playoff, so Wisconsin needs to lose, and they certainly could in the next couple of weeks. If not, they'll need to lose to whoever they play in the Big 10 championship game.

The Pac-12 isn't getting anyone in and neither is the group of 5. That scenario would leave these teams as legitimate contenders:

SEC
13-0 or 12-1 Alabama
13-0 or 12-1 Georgia

ACC
13-0 or 12-1 Miami
12-1 Clemson

Big 12
12-1 Oklahoma
12-1 TCU

B1G
13-0 Wisconsin

Independent
11-1 Notre Dame

TCU and Oklahoma play each other, as will Clemson and Miami (assuming they win all their conference games between now and the ACC title game). In my opinion, both of those are eliminator games. I'm not sure if Notre Dame vs Miami is an eliminator game yet. If Miami loses to the Irish but then beats Clemson in the ACC title game, that puts everyone in a weird spot, too.

Every game Wisconsin plays is an eliminator game. If they lose, the B1G doesn't get anyone in the Playoff.