re: The computers pick South Carolina over Georgia.

I just ran my silly model, which uses a lot of the same ideas as theirs (production vs opponent average), but I guess they don't use any sort of Yards Per Point measurement or something. Anyway, I came up with this

GEORGIA - 29
SOUTH CAROLINA - 9

Georgia
429 Total Yards (6.85 YPP)
164 Pass Yards (10.8 YPA)
265 Rush Yards (5.6 YPA)

South Carolina
155 Total Yards (2.53 YPP)
108 Pass Yards (3.6 YPA)
47 Rush Yards (1.5 YPA)


South Carolina has run for less YPA than their opponent averages in their last 5 P5 games. They have passed for less YPA in their last 3 P5 games. Combine that with UGA's defense being stingy and it's not a pretty picture.