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Some thoughts on LSU -6.5
Posted on 10/17/17 at 10:16 pm
Posted on 10/17/17 at 10:16 pm
Line opened at -7.5.
81% of the money is on Tigers.
Ole Miss super bowl.
Vegas set up awaits....get a grip of cash on those Rebels to cover.
81% of the money is on Tigers.
Ole Miss super bowl.
Vegas set up awaits....get a grip of cash on those Rebels to cover.
9
Posted on 10/17/17 at 10:23 pm to OC tiger fan
Ok
Posted on 10/17/17 at 10:24 pm to OC tiger fan
If a line opens at -7.5, and subsequently drops to -6.5, isn't more money going to the underdog??
Posted on 10/17/17 at 10:26 pm to East Coast Band
If they wanted more Ole Miss money they would take spread up not down.
They want more LSU money.....
They want more LSU money.....
Posted on 10/17/17 at 10:31 pm to OC tiger fan
But that doesn't align with what you're saying - 81% of money being bet on LSU. If that were the case, the line would be increasing.
Posted on 10/17/17 at 10:34 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
If a line opens at -7.5, and subsequently drops to -6.5, isn't more money going to the underdog??
Yes, but the OP only wanted to say Super Bowl. The rest was just filler.
Posted on 10/17/17 at 10:40 pm to OC tiger fan
quote:
Ole Miss super bowl.
Posted on 10/17/17 at 11:02 pm to Tuscaloosa
He's saying that even though most of the money is on LSU, they are doing the exact opposite of what would be expected and lowering the spread even more. Basically begging people to take LSU. Unless a fix is in, this strategy makes no sense.
Posted on 10/17/17 at 11:03 pm to Tuscaloosa
It's called "reverse line movement "
Look it up...Las Vegas pushes line to get more action on team it models to lose against spread.
Look it up...Las Vegas pushes line to get more action on team it models to lose against spread.
Posted on 10/17/17 at 11:09 pm to OC tiger fan
Never heard of that. Fascinating if the 81% on LSU is true.
Posted on 10/17/17 at 11:17 pm to Tuscaloosa
quote:
Never heard of that. Fascinating if the 81% on LSU is true.
bookies using reverse psychology - don't know if I buy it
it will backfire on them in this game I believe
I will say this though; I will laugh my arse off if Ole Miss wins, even though I am betting on LSU; esp at 6.5
I kind of like the Rebs, even if they "identify as" sharks
Posted on 10/17/17 at 11:20 pm to dcbl
I went with Ole Miss. Hard for LSU to be motivated two weeks in row. Team is still very young.
Posted on 10/17/17 at 11:39 pm to OC tiger fan
Ole Miss can't lose!!! If it wasn't for the other teams, Ole Miss would be the best team in the conference... 
Posted on 10/17/17 at 11:48 pm to 1BIGTigerFan
quote:
If it wasn't for the other teams, Ole Miss would be the best team in the conference
Posted on 10/17/17 at 11:58 pm to OC tiger fan
OM is done. They forgot to practice defense this year.
Posted on 10/18/17 at 5:05 am to OC tiger fan
quote:
81% of the money is on Tigers
81% of the money or 81% of the bets placed?
Posted on 10/18/17 at 5:06 am to OC tiger fan
quote:
Line opened at -7.5.
81% of the money is on Tigers.
I'd guess either the 81% you reference is likely betting % on LSU with the given spread and not the value of the bets on each side, ie: 3 x 1000 dollar bets on Ole Miss > 100 x 10 dollar bets on LSU. Or, odds makers anticipate a late surge on the underdog at the original spread and are advancing the line move ahead of the betting.
Either is interesting as both are indicators that the smart money is or will be on Ole Miss even at +6.5
This post was edited on 10/18/17 at 5:25 am
Posted on 10/18/17 at 5:07 am to OC tiger fan
quote:
Ole Miss super bowl
No, that would be the Mississippi State game.
Posted on 10/18/17 at 1:02 pm to Tuscaloosa
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