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re: Michigan - Florida previews and predictions
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:24 pm to Gatorbait2008
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:24 pm to Gatorbait2008
Bleacher
Florida owns a 27-game winning streak in season openers, last losing way back in 1989. But the Gators are also only 13-13 against the spread during that run, as the point spread has taken its toll.
The Gators will have their hands full trying to run that streak to 28 straight when they battle Michigan in the 2017 opener for both teams Saturday afternoon on neutral turf at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
College football point spread: The Wolverines opened as three-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)
College football betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 34.8-15.5 Wolverines (College football picks on every game)
Why the Michigan Wolverines can cover the spread
Michigan, placed 12th on the college football preseason power rankings at PredictionMachine.com, only returns five starters this year from a 10-3 team of a season ago, but talent-wise this team is still stocked.
Among the four starters back on offense are junior quarterback Wilton Speight (62 percent completions, 18/7 touchdowns/interceptions last year) and a couple of All-Big Ten candidates on the line.
And while only one starter is back from a defense that allowed just 262 yards and 14 points per game last season, the new talent all comes highly regarded.
The Wolverines gave a pretty good showing the last time they played Florida, just two years ago in the Citrus Bowl, gouging the Gators 41-7. Michigan outgained Florida that day 503-273 and covered easily as a three-point favorite.
Why the Florida Gators can cover the spread
Florida returns 13 starters this season from a team that finished 9-4 last year.
The Gators started 8-2 last season, won the SEC East, lost the SEC Championship Game to Alabama, but then beat up another Big Ten outfit, Iowa, 30-3 in the Outback Bowl.
Eight starters are back on offense, including last year's leading rusher, top three receivers and three along the line. And five starters are back from a defense that held foes to 293 yards and 17 points per game last season.
Smart pick
Michigan has the talent to fill all those holes, but that's still a lot of experience to replace.
Meanwhile Florida, after averaging less than 24 points per game over the last two seasons, figures to field its best offense in several years.
Finally, for a game that could go either way, it's nice to have a field goal in your pocket, rather than giving one away. The smart money here at online betting sites takes the Gators and the points.
College football betting trends
Florida is 12-0 SU in its last 12 games in Week 1.
The total has gone under in six of the Gators' last seven games.
Michigan is 6-2 SU and ATS in its last eight games in Week 1.
LINK
Florida owns a 27-game winning streak in season openers, last losing way back in 1989. But the Gators are also only 13-13 against the spread during that run, as the point spread has taken its toll.
The Gators will have their hands full trying to run that streak to 28 straight when they battle Michigan in the 2017 opener for both teams Saturday afternoon on neutral turf at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
College football point spread: The Wolverines opened as three-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)
College football betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 34.8-15.5 Wolverines (College football picks on every game)
Why the Michigan Wolverines can cover the spread
Michigan, placed 12th on the college football preseason power rankings at PredictionMachine.com, only returns five starters this year from a 10-3 team of a season ago, but talent-wise this team is still stocked.
Among the four starters back on offense are junior quarterback Wilton Speight (62 percent completions, 18/7 touchdowns/interceptions last year) and a couple of All-Big Ten candidates on the line.
And while only one starter is back from a defense that allowed just 262 yards and 14 points per game last season, the new talent all comes highly regarded.
The Wolverines gave a pretty good showing the last time they played Florida, just two years ago in the Citrus Bowl, gouging the Gators 41-7. Michigan outgained Florida that day 503-273 and covered easily as a three-point favorite.
Why the Florida Gators can cover the spread
Florida returns 13 starters this season from a team that finished 9-4 last year.
The Gators started 8-2 last season, won the SEC East, lost the SEC Championship Game to Alabama, but then beat up another Big Ten outfit, Iowa, 30-3 in the Outback Bowl.
Eight starters are back on offense, including last year's leading rusher, top three receivers and three along the line. And five starters are back from a defense that held foes to 293 yards and 17 points per game last season.
Smart pick
Michigan has the talent to fill all those holes, but that's still a lot of experience to replace.
Meanwhile Florida, after averaging less than 24 points per game over the last two seasons, figures to field its best offense in several years.
Finally, for a game that could go either way, it's nice to have a field goal in your pocket, rather than giving one away. The smart money here at online betting sites takes the Gators and the points.
College football betting trends
Florida is 12-0 SU in its last 12 games in Week 1.
The total has gone under in six of the Gators' last seven games.
Michigan is 6-2 SU and ATS in its last eight games in Week 1.
LINK
2
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:26 pm to Gatorbait2008
topbets
Betting on the Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)
Michigan has taken a massive hit this offseason in terms of losses on both sides of the ball. On offense, their top skill position players, particularly at receiver, are all gone. Meanwhile, they also need to replace three starters along the offensive line. Things are worse on defense, where they lost 10 starters, including studs Jabrill Peppers, Taco Charlton, and Jourdan Lewis.
On the bright side, though, head coach Jim Harbaugh still has two experienced senior quarterbacks to turn to in Wilton Speight and John O’Korn. Speight, who is the favorite to start against Florida, threw for more than 2,500 yards with 18 touchdowns and a 61.9 percent completion rate as the starter last season.
The other bit of good news for the Wolverines is that they will be up against a Florida team that will have to deal with 10 suspensions, which include top receiver Antonio Callaway and top running back Jordan Scarlett. The Gators will also be starting a redshirt freshman at quarterback.
That lack of reliable production from Florida offense should be good news for the Wolverines defense, which is a bit inexperienced but does still boast a lot of talent.
Betting on the Florida Gators (+5.5)
Florida head coach Jim McElwain has a huge headache ahead of Week 1 with the mounting suspensions he has to deal with. The number is now up to 10 following the indefinite suspensions of Scarlett and receiver Rick Wells.
The Gators were awful on offense last season, as they averaged just 24 points per game (107th in the nation). All those suspensions on the offensive side of the ball will not do their newly-named starting quarterback, Feleipe Franks, any favors whatsoever. Franks, a redshirt freshman, won the job over last year’s starter, Luke Del Rio, and Notre Dame transfer Malik Zaire.
As was the case for most of last season, the Florida defense will have to come up huge to keep the Gators within striking distance. That terrific unit finished 6th in the country in scoring defense (16.8 points per game) and 5th in total defense (293 yards per game) last season.
That outstanding defense took a massive hit in the secondary with the departures of their two top corners, Teez Tabor and Quincy Wilson. But with all the uncertainty in the Michigan passing game, Florida’s top weakness might not be exposed quite as much.
Writer’s Prediction
Michigan (-5.5) makes the most of its opportunities against shorthanded Florida as the Wolverines win, 21-14. Also, look for the total to go a good way UNDER 45.0 in what should be a defense-heavy game.
Create a betting account now and start cashing in on the brand new NCAA college football season!
Betting on the Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)
Michigan has taken a massive hit this offseason in terms of losses on both sides of the ball. On offense, their top skill position players, particularly at receiver, are all gone. Meanwhile, they also need to replace three starters along the offensive line. Things are worse on defense, where they lost 10 starters, including studs Jabrill Peppers, Taco Charlton, and Jourdan Lewis.
On the bright side, though, head coach Jim Harbaugh still has two experienced senior quarterbacks to turn to in Wilton Speight and John O’Korn. Speight, who is the favorite to start against Florida, threw for more than 2,500 yards with 18 touchdowns and a 61.9 percent completion rate as the starter last season.
The other bit of good news for the Wolverines is that they will be up against a Florida team that will have to deal with 10 suspensions, which include top receiver Antonio Callaway and top running back Jordan Scarlett. The Gators will also be starting a redshirt freshman at quarterback.
That lack of reliable production from Florida offense should be good news for the Wolverines defense, which is a bit inexperienced but does still boast a lot of talent.
Betting on the Florida Gators (+5.5)
Florida head coach Jim McElwain has a huge headache ahead of Week 1 with the mounting suspensions he has to deal with. The number is now up to 10 following the indefinite suspensions of Scarlett and receiver Rick Wells.
The Gators were awful on offense last season, as they averaged just 24 points per game (107th in the nation). All those suspensions on the offensive side of the ball will not do their newly-named starting quarterback, Feleipe Franks, any favors whatsoever. Franks, a redshirt freshman, won the job over last year’s starter, Luke Del Rio, and Notre Dame transfer Malik Zaire.
As was the case for most of last season, the Florida defense will have to come up huge to keep the Gators within striking distance. That terrific unit finished 6th in the country in scoring defense (16.8 points per game) and 5th in total defense (293 yards per game) last season.
That outstanding defense took a massive hit in the secondary with the departures of their two top corners, Teez Tabor and Quincy Wilson. But with all the uncertainty in the Michigan passing game, Florida’s top weakness might not be exposed quite as much.
Writer’s Prediction
Michigan (-5.5) makes the most of its opportunities against shorthanded Florida as the Wolverines win, 21-14. Also, look for the total to go a good way UNDER 45.0 in what should be a defense-heavy game.
Create a betting account now and start cashing in on the brand new NCAA college football season!
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:39 am to Gatorbait2008
quote:
Florida owns a 27-game winning streak in season openers
That is pretty damn impressive.
Gators still get the L unfortunately.
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