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re: Why is Alabama only given a 68% chance of beating
Posted on 12/5/16 at 2:42 am to VOLLeyLLama
Posted on 12/5/16 at 2:42 am to VOLLeyLLama
You know, they say all teams are created equal, but you look at Bama and you look at Washington, and you can see that statement is not true! See, normally if you go one-on-one with another team, you got a 50-50 chance of winnin’.
But Bama is a genetic freak, and they're not normal, so you got a 25% at best at beatin’ them! And then you add the refs to the mix? Your chances of winnin’ drastically go down. See the semi final, at the Peach Bowl, you got a 33 1/3 chance of winnin’. But Bama, they have a 66 2/3 chance of winning, cause the refs KNOW they can’t beat Bama, and they're not even gonna try!
So, Washington, you take your 33 1/3 chance, minus Bama's 25 percent chance, and you got an 8 1/3 chance of winnin’ at the Peach Bowl! But then you take Bama's 75 perchance chance at winnin’, if we was to go one-on-one, and to add 66 2/3 percents, Bama has a 141 2/3 chance of winnin' at the Peach Bowl! See, UDub; the numbers don’t like, and they spell disaster for you at the Peach Bowl!
But Bama is a genetic freak, and they're not normal, so you got a 25% at best at beatin’ them! And then you add the refs to the mix? Your chances of winnin’ drastically go down. See the semi final, at the Peach Bowl, you got a 33 1/3 chance of winnin’. But Bama, they have a 66 2/3 chance of winning, cause the refs KNOW they can’t beat Bama, and they're not even gonna try!
So, Washington, you take your 33 1/3 chance, minus Bama's 25 percent chance, and you got an 8 1/3 chance of winnin’ at the Peach Bowl! But then you take Bama's 75 perchance chance at winnin’, if we was to go one-on-one, and to add 66 2/3 percents, Bama has a 141 2/3 chance of winnin' at the Peach Bowl! See, UDub; the numbers don’t like, and they spell disaster for you at the Peach Bowl!
Posted on 12/5/16 at 3:53 am to MagillaGuerilla
Washington gets no sympy from me at all!
In all seriousness, Washington has a good chance. UF showed that Bama's secondary is still average at best so if Browning gets hot, watch out. Plus, Hurts struggles against good defenses.
In all seriousness, Washington has a good chance. UF showed that Bama's secondary is still average at best so if Browning gets hot, watch out. Plus, Hurts struggles against good defenses.
This post was edited on 12/5/16 at 3:54 am
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