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re: Kirby Smart's loser decision
Posted on 10/2/16 at 4:53 pm to djsdawg
Posted on 10/2/16 at 4:53 pm to djsdawg
quote:
Uga has gotten 7 out of 15 1st downs on 3rd down with 4-6 yards to go so far this year.
Doesn't change the fact that statistically, it's only a 30-odd percent chance. The fact that we've beaten the odds in a relatively small sample size does not mean that the pattern will hold.
2
Posted on 10/2/16 at 5:12 pm to FaCubeItches
I think how good you are at something should be considered in decision making. At the very least, the odds of a first down are better than the odds of a punt inside the ten.
Posted on 10/2/16 at 8:08 pm to FaCubeItches
quote:
Doesn't change the fact that statistically, it's only a 30-odd percent chance. The fact that we've beaten the odds in a relatively small sample size does not mean that the pattern will hold.
4th and 5 is statistically in the 30s. Punting inside the 10 is much less odds...
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