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re: well since Trump is gonna be the GOP Nominee....
Posted on 5/4/16 at 8:58 am to Supravol22
Posted on 5/4/16 at 8:58 am to Supravol22
quote:
Wrong...
No, I'm not.
The turn is already happening. Remember how all the pundits said Trump had plateaued at 35-40% and would start losing once the field got whittled down?
Instead, just the opposite happened. As the field got smaller, Trump's numbers steadily increased. He hasn't gotten less than 53% of the vote in a primary since he won Arizona 46-28 on March 22nd. He'd already gotten more votes in the R primaries than Mitt Romney did in 2012 BEFORE the Indiana primary.
Everyone knows Trump's not a social conservative. Heck, he doesn't even really try to hide it. Many Republicans may not like his social stands and may not like him personally, but they completely agree with his strong America-first nationalistic, anti-NAFTA, anti-PC rhetoric and they hate HRC with a passion that's impossible to understate. They'll vote for him in massive numbers.
Finally, as I feel I must always do, I want to add the disclaimer that I'm not a Trump guy. I voted for Rubio, but I'll go to the polls in November and mark the Donald, just like all the others that voted in the R primaries.
Trump's caught lightning in a bottle. If the Bernie voters don't go all in for HRC and the mood of middle America doesn't dramatically change over the summer, Trump will be the next POTUS.
This post was edited on 5/4/16 at 9:00 am
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Posted on 5/6/16 at 7:51 pm to JustGetItRight
My fear is the fix has been in for the Ds all along because many if not all of the primaries Trump won were open primaries. The closed primaries were all won by Cruz (that I can tell at least). Its hard to find a definitive source that shows a consolidated listing of which states were open and which states were closed. My fear is liberal votes were pushed into the open primaries to make sure Trump won and therefore the left has picked the candidate they wanted to run against in the GE. Now they'll slither back to vote for HRC.
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