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re: Realistic expectations for Kirby Smart?We know that a top 10 finish 1/2 the time

Posted on 12/16/15 at 7:33 pm to
Posted by Dawgs28
Member since Oct 2015
101 posts
Posted on 12/16/15 at 7:33 pm to
I'll play.


-An SECCG appearance every 3 years would be fantastic, but if that stat is skewed due to being heavily front loaded with 3 in the first 5 and just 2 over the next 10 years would probably be a disappointment.
-Finishing in the top 10 half the time in 15 years would be a good pretty good feat. However, if those top 10 finishes are again front loaded, and there is a stretch of 6 years where the team finishes unranked in half of them then that would be a major disappointment.

Sorry couldn't help myself


Now as to the real question. First you need to establish a realistic baseline based, and that is difficult do if you just cherry pick 2 stats. What if UGA goes on a 5 year run with just 1 top 10 finish, but they are top 15 the rest of the seasons? What if they go top 10 3 times during a 5 year period and the wheels completely fall off in the other 2? Would making the SECCG 4 times in 5 years be satisfactory if we went 8-4 in those years? Much like with the previous era, there are a number of variables which need to be taken into consideration.

I will be extremely happy if 5 years from now the team has appeared in the Georgia Dome twice, a few top 12 finishes while never falling farther than #20, and the teams walks away from truly quality opponents with about a 50/50 split. After 5 years I would also think it would very nice if I were able to look forward to season 6 without wondering how many times the team is going to end a Saturday down by 2+ touchdowns.

This post was edited on 12/16/15 at 7:37 pm
Posted by RD Dawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
27305 posts
Posted on 12/16/15 at 8:14 pm to
quote:

difficult to do if you cherry pick stats


Really?Good thing you didn't do that.

I think the last 5 years is somewhat of a fair yardstick.Below average on the top 10 (twice) and above on sECCG appearences.There was never a stretch of 6 years going unranked or not being in the top 10.

Ultimately thats what he'll be judged by even if our play is much improved in big games (which it needs to be) and we still lose.

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