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re: Updated Heisman odds

Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:25 pm to
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
96512 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

LF will have 30 carries for 285 yards or something against A&M. Go ahead and bookmark it.
If he does I really thinks he wins. It will be tough IMHO for enough people to vote for Henry when you put their stats up side by side. But I also think there is a chance LF and Henry screw each other out the Heisman
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

there is a chance LF and Henry screw each other out the Heisman


I think this is very possible, especially if Mayfield or Eliot close with a huge bang.

If Eliot goes off the last 3 weeks I think he might steal it.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
25066 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

But I also think there is a chance LF and Henry screw each other out the Heisman


Yep, don't overlook how regional the Heisman voting often is. Voting for the Heisman is usually has some of the most regional bias among any major award. For example you could have everyone in Big 10 country giving Elliot 1st place votes and everyone in the SEC splitting 1st and 2nd votes between Henry and Fournette.
Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

It will be tough IMHO for enough people to vote for Henry when you put their stats up side by side.

Really? You mean like this:

vs. Non - Conference Opponents
Fournette - 209.00 ypg
Henry - 98.33 ypg

vs. Conference Opponents
Henry - 166.14 ypg
Fournette - 141.17 ypg

vs Un-Ranked AP Opponents
Fournette - 184.00 ypg
Henry - 128.14 ypg

vs Ranked AP Opponents
Henry - 187.00 ypg
Fournette - 123.33 ypg

vs FBS non - Power 5 Opponents
Fournette - 191.50 ypg
Henry - 74.00 ypg

vs FBS Power 5 Opponents
Henry - 163.75 ypg
Fournette - 155.86

Yeah. Whatever. People take their vote seriously and they'll deep dive into those numbers and see that LF was padded against lesser competition and didn't rise up to the moment while Henry saw fewer carries against lesser competition and rose to the challenge in the biggest games.


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