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re: If UGA were to win out...

Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:57 pm to
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
42727 posts
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:57 pm to
Yeah, it's not really worth getting our hopes up. I'm still gonna root for teams like Utah to lose this week at USC, because that's the only shot we have, but the chances of that happening are probably below 10%.

Combine that with our chances of winning out we're probably looking at a 2% chance of making the playoff.
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86584 posts
Posted on 10/21/15 at 1:02 pm to
After our 2nd loss in 2007, we were ranked 23/24 after week 7 and ended up finishing 2nd, and with another break could have played for it all. It's not IMPOSSIBLE but it's hella unlikely.

Also we still had 3 ranked teams left to play that year, while as of now we only have 1.
Posted by UGAalum08
Greenville, SC
Member since Aug 2014
944 posts
Posted on 10/21/15 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

the chances of that happening are probably below 10%.


The chance of what happening? Utah losing this weekend? According to Vegas, they should. USC is favored this weekend.

The odds of Utah winning out are very small.

As is always the case towards the middle of the season, people assume that all the current undefeateds, or most of them, will win out just because they "should" win each game they play. The reality is that very few will end up undefeated - it's usually just 1 or 2. Even though a team should win each of their remaining 6 games, the likelihood of that actually happening is very, very small. Most will slip up along the way.
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