Started By
Message
ESPN's FPI
Posted on 9/22/15 at 11:33 am
Posted on 9/22/15 at 11:33 am
We are only the underdog in re remaining games (OM & LSU).
Here are our 5 toughest remaining games.
1. @ Ole Miss - 20.2%
2. @ LSU - 28.6%
3. Alabama - 50.2%
4. Arkansas - 72.6%
5. Ms Stet - 74.3%
Everyone else is over 80%.
The Projected W-L 9.0 - 3.0 and we are currently ranked 10th.
Anyone pay attention to how accurate it was last year?
Here are our 5 toughest remaining games.
1. @ Ole Miss - 20.2%
2. @ LSU - 28.6%
3. Alabama - 50.2%
4. Arkansas - 72.6%
5. Ms Stet - 74.3%
Everyone else is over 80%.
The Projected W-L 9.0 - 3.0 and we are currently ranked 10th.
Anyone pay attention to how accurate it was last year?
3
Posted on 9/22/15 at 11:50 am to Farmer1906
I'd be super interested to see how accurate it proved to be last year.
Posted on 9/22/15 at 12:13 pm to Farmer1906
Well, preseason it had this:
4. LSU
5. Georgia
6. A&M
7. Alabama
9 Ole Miss
13. Arkansas
14. Tennessee
17. Auburn
22. Arizona State
Now:
1. Ole Miss
2. LSU
3. Georgia
4. Alabama
10. A&M
13. Tennessee
29. Arkansas
31. Auburn
43. Arizona State.
So you might be able to piece it together.
4. LSU
5. Georgia
6. A&M
7. Alabama
9 Ole Miss
13. Arkansas
14. Tennessee
17. Auburn
22. Arizona State
Now:
1. Ole Miss
2. LSU
3. Georgia
4. Alabama
10. A&M
13. Tennessee
29. Arkansas
31. Auburn
43. Arizona State.
So you might be able to piece it together.
Posted on 9/22/15 at 12:48 pm to KaiserSoze99
At least it had Auburn 6th preseason and not 1st like the media.
Posted on 9/22/15 at 1:17 pm to Farmer1906
Considering all we have is ASU to hang our hat on so far. I'm great with it.
The next two weeks will move us up further.
The next two weeks will move us up further.
Posted on 9/22/15 at 1:30 pm to Cooter Davenport
quote:
I'd be super interested to see how accurate it proved to be last year.
Here's an article about 2014
https://espn.go.com/blog/statsinfo/post/_/id/100142/espns-football-power-index-a-look-back
Posted on 9/22/15 at 1:57 pm to NanosTacoRun
The take-homes are:
-There were certain teams that FPI had a grasp on and others that baffled the system. There were 10 teams, including Michigan State, Clemson, Washington, Florida State and Texas Tech, for which FPI correctly predicted all of their FBS versus FBS games. Add in another 28 teams for which FPI correctly predicted all but one game and the system had a very good understanding of about a third of the FBS.
- On the other end, there were five teams -- Virginia Tech, South Carolina, Akron, Utah and Air Force -- where the FPI favorite lost in more than half of the games. Missouri and Texas A&M also were tough to predict with their fluctuating performances.
- We have been able to retroactively apply FPI to the past 10 seasons. Since 2005, FPI has correctly predicted 75 percent of FBS games. It is on pace to have its second-best pick percentage in a season but will finish the year far from its 79.5 correct-pick percentage in 2013.
So, it averages around 75% accurate, but for certain teams in certain years it is inaccurate throughout the season. Basically, if you about halfway through the season and are a fan of a team for which it has thus-far proven to be accurate that year, it'll very likely accurately predict the winner of a game your team is playing in.
-There were certain teams that FPI had a grasp on and others that baffled the system. There were 10 teams, including Michigan State, Clemson, Washington, Florida State and Texas Tech, for which FPI correctly predicted all of their FBS versus FBS games. Add in another 28 teams for which FPI correctly predicted all but one game and the system had a very good understanding of about a third of the FBS.
- On the other end, there were five teams -- Virginia Tech, South Carolina, Akron, Utah and Air Force -- where the FPI favorite lost in more than half of the games. Missouri and Texas A&M also were tough to predict with their fluctuating performances.
- We have been able to retroactively apply FPI to the past 10 seasons. Since 2005, FPI has correctly predicted 75 percent of FBS games. It is on pace to have its second-best pick percentage in a season but will finish the year far from its 79.5 correct-pick percentage in 2013.
So, it averages around 75% accurate, but for certain teams in certain years it is inaccurate throughout the season. Basically, if you about halfway through the season and are a fan of a team for which it has thus-far proven to be accurate that year, it'll very likely accurately predict the winner of a game your team is playing in.
This post was edited on 9/22/15 at 1:59 pm
Page 1 of 1
Latest Texas A&M News
Back to top
Follow SECRant for SEC Football News