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re: Newest Realignment "Rumor"
Posted on 3/4/15 at 2:56 pm to greenbastard
Posted on 3/4/15 at 2:56 pm to greenbastard
quote:
It adds nothing. Basketball doesn't matter in realignment. The Big East proved this. Kansas may be a major basketball program, but without football, they ain't worth a used condom at a shady Houston message parlor.
Any school that is added at this point is more about adding subscribers to the SECN than it is adding strong programs in football.
Adding Kansas would 100% force the SECN onto all basic cable packages in Kansas. That isnt adding nothing.
2
Posted on 3/4/15 at 3:30 pm to Dr RC
quote:
Adding Kansas would 100% force the SECN onto all basic cable packages in Kansas. That isnt adding nothing.
10 Million in North Carolina >>> 3 Million people in Kansas. They add nothing of interest to the conference. They're worthless in the game of realignment.
Using your argument, even the state of North Dakota would be worth something. But let's face it, its not. SEC isn't going to settle for 3 million people and its billion rows of corn. Midwest is dying. They've only added 1 million people to their population since the late 1940s. They have also declined in population growth from 8.5% in 2000 to 6.1% in 2010.
I stand by my statement. Kansas is worthless.
Posted on 3/4/15 at 5:18 pm to Dr RC
quote:
Adding Kansas would 100% force the SECN onto all basic cable packages in Kansas. That isnt adding nothing.
I agree that it isn't adding "nothing", but it's at least an open question whether it increases the pie enough to justify adding another mouth to feed. If bringing in Kansas increases the total payout, but DECREASES the per-school payout, then it's a bad deal.
There's roughly 94.1 million people in the SEC footprint. Divided by 14 members, that comes to each school being supported by 6.7M in population. I'd obviously like to use subscriber numbers instead of raw population, but I think it's a suitable proxy since I don't have the other numbers on hand.
Anyway, the state of Kansas has a measely 2.9M in population. Adding that school and that state would actually LOWER the average population per school to 6.5M. Now that's not a HUGE drop, and you can argue that the demand for the SECN might even be GREATER in Kansas than in the other SEC states because a much larger portion of interesting BBall games will be on that network than for football. So maybe they are willing to pay a higher subscriber rate. And maybe the status of the Kansas BBall program really does add a lot for advertising purposes and whatnot.
But I don't think it's a slam dunk they'd be a positive addition.
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