re: Does anyone actually believe this

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Tacitus

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Eh, he wasn't a witness and was just commenting on what he had been told. Furthermore, he also got Pilate's rank incorrect. (Although, I've heard that he could have served as both the correctly ascribed one and the one attributed by Tacitus.) It's also strange because it says that Jesus was in the Roman Census in the Bible, and so he must have been provided a death certificate that still hasn't turned up.

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Flavius Josephus

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Mentions him, sure, but how much of his works were doctored? A Jew would never refer to Jesus as "The Messiah" and would have at least mentioned one of his "Great Works", right? There isn't much debate as to The Testimony was interpolated (unless you're not debating, like Stacked) and so I don't consider it a valid source. If it was doctored, it could have been almost completely made up -- especially since the ones who copied it down through time were Christians.

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the Talmud

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The Talmud states that Jesus was hung, not crucified which is in direct contradiction to the Biblical Accord. I would not use this source if I were you.