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re: Name That Prospect

Posted on 5/2/14 at 11:14 am to
Posted by TTsTowel
RIP Bow9den/Coastie
Member since Feb 2010
91654 posts
Posted on 5/2/14 at 11:14 am to
I see you left out the year 2013...

LINK (the newest and most updated link)
quote:

Let’s start with our simple variability measure, which is based on the difference between when each player was projected to be picked and when he was actually picked. A lower variability score is better:
Mike Mayock: 9.1
Mel Kiper: 9.6
Todd McShay: 10.6
quote:

The worst projection of all, however, was McShay pegging Ryan Nassib going #7 to Buffalo (actual: #110 to the Giants). This was by the far the worst first-round projection since we started tracking the mock drafts in 2008.
Posted by The Nino
Member since Jan 2010
21528 posts
Posted on 5/2/14 at 11:17 am to
quote:

The worst projection of all, however, was McShay pegging Ryan Nassib going #7 to Buffalo (actual: #110 to the Giants). This was by the far the worst first-round projection since we started tracking the mock drafts in 2008.
ouch
Posted by BamaDoc14
Member since Nov 2013
2559 posts
Posted on 5/2/14 at 11:28 am to
quote:

I see you left out the year 2013...


So one year bucks the whole 6 year trend?? When using statistics, it's always safest to go for that one year outlier.

Projected Actual Difference
Mike Mayock Geno Smith, QB 6 39 33
Stephen Hill, WR 20 43 23
Da'Quan Bowers, DE 20 51 31
DeSean Jackson, WR 24 49 25
This post was edited on 5/2/14 at 11:29 am
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