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re: AU DE with some bulletin board material

Posted on 11/26/13 at 2:19 pm to
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

I doubt AJ gets sacked once in this game.


Agreed...we average over 2 a game so 2 is more likely.
Posted by HempHead
Big Sky Country
Member since Mar 2011
55542 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 2:19 pm to
I'll give you 1.5 sacks. Over/under?
Posted by tivey6301
Member since Jul 2011
2001 posts
Posted on 11/27/13 at 5:19 am to
quote:

parkjas2001
quote:

Agreed...we average over 2 a game so 2 is more likely.


Since we're talking averages, Bama (against opponents common to both auburn and Bama) has averaged holding those opponents to 61% fewer points than the opponents season average. At the same time, Bama has averaged scoring 25% more than the opponent has averaged allowing.

Using these averages and auburns season averages of 42 scored and 32 allowed, we get a final score of
Bama 40
Aub 16

to get Bama score, 32+32*.25=40
to get Aub score, 42-42*.61=16
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