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re: Question for A&M fans... bowl predictions
Posted on 10/21/13 at 2:53 pm to Spirit Of Aggieland
Posted on 10/21/13 at 2:53 pm to Spirit Of Aggieland
quote:well, those are some high expectations at this point, bordering on LSU-level demands. You're looking at 10-2 at best, now. The SEC brand name has lost some luster, and there's a bunch of teams ranked above you. Which BCS bowl (I assume that's what you mean) are you expecting?
Expectations are to win the LSU game and get a better bowl than the Cotton
FWIW, I don't see 10-2 getting any SEC team in. Not LSU to the Sugar, etc.
Posted on 10/21/13 at 3:14 pm to Scoob
quote:
FWIW, I don't see 10-2 getting any SEC team in
Knowing the following:
1. No conference can put more than 2 teams in.
2. If Fresno State or Northern Illinois is #12 or higher, they get an automatic bid.
3. If an AQ qualifier is below #16, #2 does not apply, it's now #16.
Who would you put in the BCS?
SEC: Alabama 13-0 in title game
PAC 12: If Oregon is 13-0, that means UCLA, Oregon State, and Stanford have a minimum of 2 losses apiece.
Big Ten: If Ohio State is 13-0, that means every other team in that conference has a minimum of 2 losses apiece.
ACC: If Florida State runs the table and goes 13-0, that likely gives Miami and Virginia Tech 2 losses apiece.
Big 12: If Baylor or Texas Tech runs the table, they'll be the only Big 12 school in the top 10.
AAC: There's virtually no chance of Louisville, Houston, or UCF cracking the top 15 now.
Let's assume the following:
-#1 Alabama vs. #2 Florida State in the title game
-#3 Oregon vs. #4 Ohio State in the Rose Bowl
That takes away the "top 4" rule
That leaves 6 spots in the BCS.
You know the AAC winner gets one.
You know that, if Fresno State or Northern Illinois is top 16, they get one by virtue of Louisville sucking
That leaves 4 spots, Big 12 Champion, AAC Champion, and 2 at large spots.
Let's assume that Missouri loses to A&M and Alabama, Auburn loses to Alabama, and A&M wins out.
Let's assume that Nebraska's only remaining loss is Ohio State in Indianappois.
The only factor that leaves is the Big 12 Champion.
The Big 12 Champion goes to the Fiesta Bowl, by rule, so that leaves five spots.
The order of the picks would then be:
Sugar
Orange
Fiesta
Sugar
Orange
Sugar will pick the biggest draw - That's a 10-2 A&M with Johnny Manziel (Top 10 at this point)
Orange will then pick their biggest draw - That's either 11-1 Clemson or 11-2 Nebraska
The Fiesta then picks the remaining team between Clemson and Nebraska
Sugar and Orange are now FORCED to pick between Fresno State and UCF/Louisville/Houston
Sugar would pick Houston to match up Kevin Sumlin vs. his former team leaving Fresno State to the Orange Bowl.
For matchup purposes, the BCS needs Alabama or Florida State to lose or for Oregon to jump them in the BCS poll.
If Oregon gets to #2, it solves some of the problem, as it allows the Orange Bowl and Rose Bowl to shove the unwanted team to the Fiesta Bowl.
Posted on 10/21/13 at 3:43 pm to Scoob
Definitely would much rather Capital One or another matchup than the Cotton, we've been there plenty in the last few years, want to see us play a Big 10/ACC team in a new venue
Posted on 10/21/13 at 4:09 pm to Scoob
Would be lucky to get cotton bowl honestly.
Posted on 10/21/13 at 4:47 pm to betweenthebara
I would prefer to go somewhere else. Dallas is a cheap nonstop flight from Denver though.
The when/where/trip cost of any bowl game we might get would determine whether or not I go. Not our record.
The when/where/trip cost of any bowl game we might get would determine whether or not I go. Not our record.
Posted on 10/21/13 at 5:15 pm to twk
would love to rape the sips in the cotton bowl
Posted on 10/21/13 at 5:27 pm to CGSC Lobotomy
You guys are not winning out.
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