Do we grind them to a halt?

It's clear that my prediction works better at predicting the opponents' score than our own.

So far, here's what the metric has provided.

vs. Arkansas: picked both teams within 6 points
at Ole Miss: within Ole Miss' margin
at La. Tech: picked A&M within 4 points
vs. LSU: within Ole Miss' margin
at Auburn: picked Auburn within 1 point

With that having been said, here goes:

A&M averages 45.50 ppg and allows 22.00 ppg.

Metric 1 (all opponents): A&M averages 19.63 more than its opponents allow and allows 7.67 less than its opponents score.

Metric 2 (opponents .500 or better): A&M averages 11.47 more than its opponents allow and allows 8.83 less than its opponents score.

Metric 3 (opponents ranked at time of game): A&M averages 10.87 more than its opponents allow and allows 3.38 less than its opponents score.

I'm going to keep the home/road factor (+/- 5) for this.

Here's what we get from the A&M side:

Metric 1: A&M scores 32 and allows 32
Metric 2: A&M scores 24 and allows 31
Metric 3: A&M scores 23 and allows 35

Mississippi State averages 33 points per game and allows 17.38 points per game.

Metric 1 (all opponents): Scores 5.50 more than their opponents allow and allows 9.11 less than their opponents score.

Metric 2 (opponents .500 or better): Scores 6.12 more than their opponents allow and allows 11.21 less than their opponents score.

Metric 3 (ranked opponents at time of game): They scored 1.13 less than Alabama allows and allowed 2.63 less than Alabama scores.

Using MSU's stats and factoring in the home/road factor (+/- 5):

Metric 1: MSU scores 33 and allows 31
Metric 2: MSU scores 33 and allows 29
Metric 3: MSU scores 26 and allows 38

To summarize:

Using all three metrics and removing 5 points due to it being a road game, A&M scores between 23-38 points.

Using all three metrics and adding 5 points due to it being a home game, MSU scores between 26-35 points.

I'm going to predict another 30-27 game, since those seem to be common in the SEC but I think they win.