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Here's the Clean Truth: A Rebuttal to the Dirty Secret

Posted on 11/22/11 at 9:22 am
Posted by RummelTiger
Texas
Member since Aug 2004
90042 posts
Posted on 11/22/11 at 9:22 am
Chris Dufresne of the LA Times postulates that the SEC really isn't that strong this year, and gives the following evidence to support his argument:

quote:

Here's the dirty secret: The SEC really isn't that strong this year. The East Division is OK at the top with Georgia and South Carolina. The rest of the division is a combined 20-24.

The SEC West isn't even that good beyond the top three. Auburn, Mississippi State and Mississippi are a combined 14-19.


Well, here is my evidence that shows why the SEC is as strong as we think we are.


Breakdown: I took the overall win % of the top, and bottom, three teams in each division, or just the top three teams of the conference if there was no division.

Only the 6 AQ conferences were used.


TOP 3

SEC W - .94 (31-2)
Big 12 - .84 (27-5)
Big 10 Leg. - .79 (26-7)
ACC Coast. - .79 (26-7)
PAC 12 N - .76 (25-8)
SEC E - .73 (24-9)
Big 10 Lead. - .70 (23-10)
ACC Atl. - .67 (22-11)
Big East - .66 (21-11)
PAC 12 S - .64 (21-12)

The SEC's best division is, by far, the best division (or top three) based on overall winning %. The SEC's 2nd best division is better than the top three teams in the division-less Big East and better than the 4 other conferences weaker divisions.


BOTTOM 3

Big East - .47 (14-16)
Big 10 Leg. - .45 (15-18)
ACC Coast. - .45 (15-18)
SEC W - .42 (14-19)
SEC E - .42 (14-19)

Big 12 - .41 (13-19)
Big 10 Lea. - .39 (13-20)
PAC 12 N - .39 (13-20)
PAC 12 S - .36 (12-22)
ACC Atl. - .33 (11-22)

Here we have the SEC's two divisions tied for the 4th best winning % in relation to the weaker end of the spectrum. Mr. Dufresne's Pac-12 teams come in at 7th and 9th, out of 10, respectively.

Which conference has the best overall winning % of the 6 AQ's you ask? Well...

It's the SEC!

SEC - .63 (83-49)
Big 12 - .61 (65-41
Big 10 - .58 (77-55)
Big E - .57 (47-35)
ACC - .56 (74-58)
PAC 12 - .53 (71-62)

My conclusion:

The SEC is as strong as advertised and Chris Dufresne knows this. But, since the SEC has had an historic run over the last few years, and one that should continue through this year, writers in other parts of the country have to find something that they think will stick when they throw it up on the wall. But, rest you heads my little SEC friends, we will not be losing (or loosing, for those from AR) our grip on the throat of NCAA football anytime soon.


*Disclaimer:

This was not an extremely efficient scientifically conducted project - it was merely thrown together in my office while waiting for Thanksgiving Day to arrive. If you find an error, well, I kind of expect it. If you give me a rash of shite for it, well, then frick you.

Posted by Cdawg
TigerFred's Living Room
Member since Sep 2003
59641 posts
Posted on 11/22/11 at 9:24 am to
Condense and revise.
Posted by chilld28
Get in B Chord and Mash It!!
Member since Nov 2009
29622 posts
Posted on 11/22/11 at 9:26 am to
tl;dr





Kidding Nice work getting all the info down. Now get this shite published in the newspapers
This post was edited on 11/22/11 at 9:26 am
Posted by AUnite
The Tragic City
Member since Nov 2010
14828 posts
Posted on 11/22/11 at 9:27 am to
quote:

Rummy

good work!



Posted by WDE24
Member since Oct 2010
54185 posts
Posted on 11/22/11 at 9:28 am to
How about you check the first page or use the search function Newb?!
This post was edited on 11/22/11 at 9:28 am
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
105524 posts
Posted on 11/22/11 at 9:59 am to
AU's 4 losses have come against 2 of the top 3 in the BCS plus #'s 13 & 17.

Moral Victory? Hell yes

ETA: We will have a shocker of a win come Saturday to give us a 8 win regular season and totally frick up Bama's NOLA plans...
This post was edited on 11/22/11 at 10:11 am
Posted by TigersOfGeauxld
Just across the water...
Member since Aug 2009
25057 posts
Posted on 11/22/11 at 10:01 am to
Great post!

Posted by jatebe
Queen of Links
Member since Oct 2008
18289 posts
Posted on 11/22/11 at 10:06 am to
I bookmarked this because you know other conferences are going to be ranting about this.
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
36776 posts
Posted on 11/22/11 at 1:15 pm to
Don't need to spell cat to beat LSU's arse.
Posted by Analyze That
ThereAndBackAgain
Member since Nov 2009
19867 posts
Posted on 11/22/11 at 1:19 pm to
Way to go Rumcake
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
36155 posts
Posted on 11/22/11 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

Which conference has the best overall winning % of the 6 AQ's you ask? Well...

It's the SEC!

SEC - .63 (83-49)
Big 12 - .61 (65-41



Big 12 plays an extra game in conference each instead of a creampuff - which obviously lowers the winning percentage for the whole conference.

Big 12 also has the best out of conference record of any of the major/BCS conferences

Subjectively I think the Big 12 is over-rated by the computers but the results on paper favor them over the other major conferences IMO
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