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Nightmare Scenario for One Team

Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:07 am
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
14834 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:07 am
It is looking more and more likely that at least one if not both of the SEC championship participants will have two losses entering that game. I fully expect there will be several SEC teams sitting at 10-2 at the end of the season. Other than Texas, no one looks dominant. There is a lot of football left, but it looks very likely that Texas will play LSU, TAM, Alabama, Tennessee, or Georgia in the championship, all of whom already have one loss. There are more losses guaranteed for some of these teams because they still have to play each other and/or Texas. TAM and LSU already have an OOC loss, so they would be the teams most likely to be second in the standings but have two overall losses at the end of the season. But it could be that a team with 2 conference losses, their only overall losses, makes it based on a tiebreaker.

If the SEC championship game runner up finishes with 3 losses and gets left out of the playoffs while a 10-2 team/s behind them in the SEC standings make the playoffs, will the SEC reconsider the SEC championship? Or will love of money win out?.
Posted by Bulldogblitz
In my house
Member since Dec 2018
28107 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:08 am to
quote:

Or will love of money win out?.


This is where we are in college Foosball.
Posted by Dallaswho
Texas
Member since Dec 2023
2454 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:09 am to
I don’t see Mizzou losing another game.
Posted by Tactical Syrup
Member since Jun 2024
1273 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:09 am to
For LSU it depends entirely on how good A&M really is.

I think we edge Arkansas. And LSU is likely favored over a now struggling Bama in tiger stadium. Baker has really tuned this defense up. Oklahoma doesn't scare...anyone.

Vandy could give us a run though
Posted by bass
Member since Oct 2016
4391 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:10 am to
quote:

all of whom already have one loss
TAM and LSU have zero SEC losses.
Posted by 0x15E
Outer Space
Member since Sep 2020
14358 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:11 am to
quote:

but it looks very likely that Texas will play LSU, TAM, Alabama, Tennessee, or Georgia in the championship


One of five teams???

Thanks Nostradamus
Posted by magildachunks
Member since Oct 2006
34142 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:11 am to
All that to say you hope Bama doesn't make it to Atlanta.

Love how you're already sowing the seeds of "This is actually what we wanted" when you lose again.
This post was edited on 10/13/24 at 9:13 am
Posted by tiger chaser
Birmingham Ala
Member since Feb 2008
7662 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:11 am to
Better clean your glasses then … an call your fortune teller an tell her you want a refund
Posted by BorrisMart
La
Member since Jul 2020
9001 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:12 am to
One OOC loss with one conference loss versus 2 conference losses....eh could go either way depending on how that team is playing toward the end.
Posted by bass
Member since Oct 2016
4391 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:16 am to
quote:

If the SEC championship game runner up finishes with 3 losses and gets left out of the playoffs while a 10-2 team/s behind them in the SEC standings make the playoffs
Already looking for the back door huh?
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
14834 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:23 am to
quote:

TAM and LSU have zero SEC losses.


Exactly. They have no SEC losses but do have one loss. I don’t think either one goes undefeated the rest of the way, and one is guaranteed to hang the other with another loss. Those two teams are the most likely to find themselves in the SEC championship game with only one SEC loss but two overall losses. If they lose the championship game, they will have three losses and miss the playoffs.

It is very possible that the winner of the LSU/TAM game makes the SEC championship. But the loser makes the playoffs.
Posted by JJxvi
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2011
446 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:31 am to
I doubt a SEC championship game participant gets penalized at all for losing a third game in Atlanta. The only teams that would have been left out of the top 12 in the past were those East Division teams at the first few years of the format when all of the top teams were in the west and they wouldnt even make the CCG in the current system without divisions
This post was edited on 10/13/24 at 9:33 am
Posted by bass
Member since Oct 2016
4391 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:33 am to
quote:

winner of the LSU/TAM game makes the SEC championship
Still a lot of football to be played. I think oddsmakers will have both these teams missing the SECCG and rightfully so. LSU will likely have to beat TAMU and Bama as well as surviving Ark, Florida, OU. That’s asking a lot IMO
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
14834 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:34 am to
quote:

All that to say you hope Bama doesn't make it to Atlanta.


This thread is not about Alabama, it is about the SEC championship game.

But as for Alabama I don’t think it is likely they make it. I think Alabama loses at least one of their games against LSU and Tennessee. The winner would own the head to head tiebreaker over Alabama. Alabama will likely finish 9-3. But even if they finish 10-2, it is unlikely they would make it.

I don’t know how this new system without divisions is going to work out, but I think the championship game will be a trainwreck. Regardless of how it plays out, there will be a lot of pissed off fans. And the team that loses is likely to get screwed.
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
14834 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:40 am to
quote:

I doubt a SEC championship game participant gets penalized at all for losing a third game in Atlanta


In a perfect world they wouldn’t. But there is practically zero chance a team that loses a game on the last weekend before bowls/playoffs doesn’t drop in the polls. A two loss team entering the SEC championship may be in the top 12 in the polls. But they almost certainly won’t be if they pick up their third loss in that game.
Posted by JJxvi
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2011
446 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:45 am to
Its not a poll. Its a committee, and it doesnt function the same way polls do. Sure a team losing the CCG may drop below a team that wins, but teams that dont play wont be jumping a team that loses like they do in the stupid AP and Coaches polls
Posted by JJxvi
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2011
446 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:47 am to
For example, last year Georgia dropped 2-6 but nobody jumped them who was sitting at home
Posted by New Money
Athens, GA
Member since Jun 2023
2199 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:53 am to
If we go back to 10 teams and then have nine conference games, we won't have to worry about such scenarios.
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
14834 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:53 am to
quote:

I don’t see Mizzou losing another game.


Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
14834 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 9:57 am to
quote:

For example, last year Georgia dropped 2-6 but nobody jumped them who was sitting at home


Not true. Last season, Georgia losing the SEC championship game kept them from making the playoffs. Alabama jumped them and took their spot. Had there been no SEC championship game, Georgia AND Florida State would have made the playoffs. Last season, the SEC championship cost two teams a playoff spot. And one of them wasn’t even an SEC team.
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