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re: List of SEC programs with most 10+ wins that rank among nation's top 20 all-time
Posted on 5/7/24 at 3:26 pm to JetDawg
Posted on 5/7/24 at 3:26 pm to JetDawg
I’m not a huge fan of the 10+ win stat because it doesn’t factor SOS.
Boise State has 18 seasons of 10+ wins since 1996, yet you’d be hard-pressed to find 10 wins against ranked opponents during those 18 seasons.
I know I can remember a lot of 9 win seasons in Auburn history that included a schedule of 4-5 highly ranked opponents while there were some 10-win teams those same seasons who played just one or two such opponents.
Boise State has 18 seasons of 10+ wins since 1996, yet you’d be hard-pressed to find 10 wins against ranked opponents during those 18 seasons.
I know I can remember a lot of 9 win seasons in Auburn history that included a schedule of 4-5 highly ranked opponents while there were some 10-win teams those same seasons who played just one or two such opponents.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 3:47 pm to AUTiger789
Number of Final AP Top 10 opponents faced since 2010:
46- Auburn
39- Tennessee
37- Alabama, Florida, LSU
35- Georgia
34- Arkansas
33- Miss St
29- Ole Miss
28- S Carolina, Vanderbilt
27- Texas, Texas A&M
25- Missouri
24- Kentucky
23- Oklahoma
Again. The variance is SOS that exists in this sport is too severe to put much stock in # of 10-win seasons. When the Sooners start playing a schedule with a pulse, there’s no way those 10+ seasons will keep piling up.
46- Auburn
39- Tennessee
37- Alabama, Florida, LSU
35- Georgia
34- Arkansas
33- Miss St
29- Ole Miss
28- S Carolina, Vanderbilt
27- Texas, Texas A&M
25- Missouri
24- Kentucky
23- Oklahoma
Again. The variance is SOS that exists in this sport is too severe to put much stock in # of 10-win seasons. When the Sooners start playing a schedule with a pulse, there’s no way those 10+ seasons will keep piling up.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 5:53 pm to AUTiger789
quote:
I’m not a huge fan of the 10+ win stat because it doesn’t factor SOS.
If you have a bunch of 10+ win seasons in a P5 conference it's a good bet that your SOS was fairly solid.
quote:
Boise State has 18 seasons of 10+ wins since 1996, yet you’d be hard-pressed to find 10 wins against ranked opponents during those 18 seasons.
And no one has them anywhere close to Auburn's level for that very reason.
This post was edited on 5/7/24 at 5:54 pm
Posted on 5/7/24 at 11:37 pm to AUTiger789
quote:I think the 10 win season has been diluted; as recently as the late 90's you only had 11 games. And going back just a few years earlier, there was no conference title game.
I’m not a huge fan of the 10+ win stat because it doesn’t factor SOS.
Boise State has 18 seasons of 10+ wins since 1996, yet you’d be hard-pressed to find 10 wins against ranked opponents during those 18 seasons.
If you're 10-1, that's a special season, and you may be playing for a title in the poll era (meaning there's a good chance the national consensus is you're the best team).
Now if you're 10-2, that's a good solid season, but nothing historical.
I think the loss total (1 loss seasons) would be a far better indicator. Those are elite years. If you want to have "very good", go to 2 losses.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 8:34 am to AUTiger789
quote:
I’m not a huge fan of the 10+ win stat because it doesn’t factor SOS.
Or the fact that seasons were once 11 and 10 games long. Newer 10+ win seasons are mathematically easier than those prior to 2001 and especially 1970.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 8:47 am to AUTiger789
quote:
Boise State
Their fans are worse than UCF. I'm glad they suck arse now.
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