I feel like Lunardi is off on several fronts this year. I just don’t see how Auburn will get that high with what will be 3 Q1 wins if they win tomorrow. 1’s, 2’s and 3’s are pretty locked in my mind.

1’s in order- Houston, Purdue, UCONN, UNC

2’s in order- Tennessee, Iowa St, Arizona, Marquette

3’s in order- Creighton, Baylor, Illinois, Duke

If Illinois loses to Nebraska I could see them as a 4 but other than that, it’s pretty set.

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Posted by MrAUTigers

Florida

Member since Sep 2013

28306 posts

Posted on 3/16/24 at 3:27 pm to Footballtimentn

quote:
I just don’t see how Auburn will get that high with what will be 3 Q1 wins if they win tomorrow

but Auburn is undefeated against Q2, 3, and 4. Auburn is also very highly ranked with the metrics........4th on KenPom and 5th in NET.

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Posted by AUTiger789

Birmingham, AL

Member since Apr 2022

1708 posts

Posted on 3/16/24 at 3:30 pm to Footballtimentn

Agree our lack of Q1 wins probably keeps us on the 4-line. However, the last 3-seed probably comes down to these three:

Quad 1 records:
Kentucky: 6-7
Duke: 5-4
Auburn: 2-7

Quad 1+2 records:
Auburn: 12-7
Duke: 11-8
Kentucky: 8-8

Quad 1+2+3 records:
Auburn: 21-7
Duke: 18-8
Kentucky: 16-9

I feel like Kentucky’s .500 record against Quad 1+2 is just as much of an asterisk as Auburn’s lack of Q1 wins…. Not to mention a Q3 loss to go along with that.

SOR:
12- Auburn
16- Duke
19- Kentucky

NET:
5- Auburn
10- Duke
19- Kentucky

I mean…. Auburn is really way ahead of those other two in every meaningful metric accept Q1 wins. Will be interesting to see what the committee focuses on.

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