re: Sayin entering the portal - commits to Ohio State

quote:

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The odds that Sayin was going to go to Bama, wait his turn, and become a top QB without transferring is extremely low. Like I said, JJ McCarthy is the only one who even somewhat matches the criteria

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This is simply untrue, and you are looking at the wrong data to try to make your point. Saying the Class of '23 QBs have not made an impact is dumb, they were only freshmen.

Here is the more accurate list of five-star QBs and their impact:

2022

Allar - starter for PSU
Klubnik - starter at Clemson
Weigman - starter at A&M
Simpson - no impact yet at Bama

2021

Ewers - transferred
C. Williams - transferred
Huard - bust
Maye - first-rounder from UNC
McCarthy - won natty at UM

2020

B. Young - Heisman winner at Bama
Uaiglelleilii - multi-year starter at Clemson
Stroud - 2nd overall pick from OSU

2019

Rattler - starter at OK before transfer

2018

Lawrence - 1st overall pick from Clemson
Fields - transferred
JT Daniels - transferred

2017


Mills - multi-year starter at Stanford
Tua - 1st rounder from Bama

Fact of the matter is, the vast majority of these guys made a substantial impact on their original schools. Odds were very high that Sayin would have been a multi-year starter for Bama and about a 50/50 chance of being a first-round pick.