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re: What about next year..

Posted on 1/18/24 at 1:11 pm to
Posted by Tw1st3d
Member since Jul 2017
782 posts
Posted on 1/18/24 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

You think we’re gonna give up 32ppg??


The point of this was to look at where we were and what the possible impact of the changes could be. Alabama is not "dead man walking".

2023 Alabama scored 34 ppg and Washington scored 36 ppg

If one of the QB's steps up and does well with the new system, I think 40 ppg is viable. With all of the changes, that is adding less than 1 TD per game. To get there, they need (1) #1 WR or #2 WR from the portal, (2) OT from the portal or step up from the team, and (1) center from the portal or step up from the team.

On Defense Alabama averaged 19 ppg in 2023. With all of the changes I think the worst case senerio would be to add 7 to 14 ppg to that this next year (+13ppg = 32 ppg).

Assuming no additional front line player losses and assuming we can get (1) good corner and (1) good safety out of the portal, I suspect we will be +7 or +8 ppg (or 26.5 ppg)

40 ppg (Off) and 26.5 ppg (Def) would be a pretty good outcome for a coaching change year. I think that would put Alabama at a 10+ win season with a pretty good chance of making the 12 team playoff field.
This post was edited on 1/18/24 at 1:20 pm
Posted by JIB
Member since Sep 2013
835 posts
Posted on 1/18/24 at 1:56 pm to
Bama didn't average 40 ppg the year Bryce won the Heisman.

Giving up 26 ppg would be really, really bad. Bama hasn't been that bad defensively in... I'm not even sure. Even Shula's worst defense didn't give up that many points (different era, I know). That would probably be the worst defense in Alabama history in terms of points given up per game. That would be a huge disappointment.

I expect the defense to be better than that and the offense not to be that good. I'd say 35 ppg and 22 ppg.

This post was edited on 1/18/24 at 1:58 pm
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