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re: Teams with legit shot to win CFP every year
Posted on 1/12/23 at 11:03 am to SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 1/12/23 at 11:03 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
If by wilderness you mean Top 10 program that wins 9-10 games every year and competes for the big prize every few years, sure.
I'm thinking that this is the possibility if they nail a homerun hire. Better than Auburn's twice a decade contenders, but it's folly to believe that whomever comes in will be able to match Saban's ability to develop NFL talent and steamroll CFB as a whole.
quote:
If by wilderness you mean 6-6 Mike Shula/Mike DuBose probation era stuff
It's not as far fetched a prospect as you assume. Superior coaching of Saban-signed talent will keep them in the hunt, but if his successor isn't able to keep the recruiting train going, much less being able to coach up the players, that 6-6 scenario isn't off the table.
That Saban momentum is only going to last for 2-3 years, tops without an epic coach on the sidelines. You're not going to be able to afford to miss on The Guy After THE GUY and there not be years-long ramifications.
ETA - It's worth mentioning that in a 12 team CFP, that 9-10 win threshold should absolutely be enough to make the field. What will remain outstanding is what happens with respect to results.
This post was edited on 1/12/23 at 11:07 am
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Posted on 1/12/23 at 11:04 am to VoxDawg
quote:
It's not as far fetch a prospect as you assume
Yes, it is. The only time in the history of the program we've been a "6-6/7-5" program was when we were on the 2nd of multiple probations that also meant we had a below average coaching staff. And even then we sandwiched in a 10 win, Top 10 season in there. So yea, it's a pretty far off prospect to think we're going to turn into a 6-6 program.
The most likely scenario is we hire a very solid replacement, remain at the elite top for 2-3 years and then fall into the very solid but not elite every single season category and recruiting drops from Top 3 every year to Top 10 every year and Top 5 sometimes.
The only way we turn into some sad sack program is if we hire an absolute disaster who pisses away everything Saban built in 2-3 years and then hits rock bottom in year 4 and guts the roster. I have full faith in our AD, who has a fantastic track record of hiring coaches in big sports, to make a solid (or even better than that) hire to replace Saban.
This post was edited on 1/12/23 at 11:09 am
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