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re: Teams with legit shot to win CFP every year
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:25 am to VoxDawg
Posted on 1/12/23 at 10:25 am to VoxDawg
quote:
Bama must get the post-Saban hire exactly right, or will spend 10 years in the wilderness
If by wilderness you mean Top 10 program that wins 9-10 games every year and competes for the big prize every few years, sure.
If by wilderness you mean 6-6 Mike Shula/Mike DuBose probation era stuff
Les Miles rode the Nick Saban machine for 3 straight Top 5 seasons before the eroded away and it became his program entirely (in which he had a great class in 2010/2011 and outside of that was a 3-4 loss team). Whoever takes over for Saban, and I trust the guy who hired Nate Oats to hire someone is good at their job, will walk into a program with a top 3 national roster and an infrastructure second to nobody but maybe Georgia.
The only time in the past 75 years where Alabama has been a 5-6 loss program is when it had crippling scholarship reductions, and even then it would pump out a Top 10 team every 3rd year. Expecting that to happen when Saban leaves is pure silliness.
Alabama finished ranked in the Top 20 5 of the 7 seasons of the "horrible" post-Bryant/pre-Stallings era of the 1980s. And Bryant left Perkins a pretty bare cupboard upon retirement, unlike what Saban will leave.
This post was edited on 1/12/23 at 10:32 am
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Posted on 1/12/23 at 11:03 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
If by wilderness you mean Top 10 program that wins 9-10 games every year and competes for the big prize every few years, sure.
I'm thinking that this is the possibility if they nail a homerun hire. Better than Auburn's twice a decade contenders, but it's folly to believe that whomever comes in will be able to match Saban's ability to develop NFL talent and steamroll CFB as a whole.
quote:
If by wilderness you mean 6-6 Mike Shula/Mike DuBose probation era stuff
It's not as far fetched a prospect as you assume. Superior coaching of Saban-signed talent will keep them in the hunt, but if his successor isn't able to keep the recruiting train going, much less being able to coach up the players, that 6-6 scenario isn't off the table.
That Saban momentum is only going to last for 2-3 years, tops without an epic coach on the sidelines. You're not going to be able to afford to miss on The Guy After THE GUY and there not be years-long ramifications.
ETA - It's worth mentioning that in a 12 team CFP, that 9-10 win threshold should absolutely be enough to make the field. What will remain outstanding is what happens with respect to results.
This post was edited on 1/12/23 at 11:07 am
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