re: Georgia I Mean this as No Disrespect: Is Tennessee +9 the Easiest Play in History?

quote:

---

Bama has been number 1 most of the time for the past decade, "getting every teams best shot" is a cheap excuse. I come in here to talk about the spread and as per usual UGA fans act like someone trying to be objective is "disrespect" or "dick riding" because they are so insecure after 40 years of underachieving that they don't know how to handle an ounce of success. Truly, by far, the saddest fanbase in sports. I genuinely feel for UGA fans.

---

You're not really looking to talk about the spread. I gave you the factual answer and you went on to try to pick some sort of fight with UGA fans.

The factual answer is UGA is favored because their offense is the next best in the nation after UT, and they have a much better defense. The game is also a home game for UGA.

This is the reason for the spread. You can feel free to disagree with those thinking UGA will win, but the logic behind the spread is not complicated. The oddsmakers who look at the quality of the teams think UGA will be able to score more points on UT than the reverse... largely due to the differences in the defenses. The oddsmakers actually thought UGA was 12.5 point favorites, the betters bet it down to where it is now.

I think the smart play in this game is the over (currently at 66), not betting on a team). That over/under means that it's at a 37-29 final score prediction in favor of UGA. I see a lot of ways it will be higher than 66 compared to below.